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Good sentences

The marriage between sport and broadcasters, though long and successful, has been changing in a number of ways. First, the fragmentation of audiences among hundreds of channels has given the most popular sports enormous bargaining power. As the number of channels has multiplied, large audiences have become much harder to find, but sport has retained its ability to supply them.

Here is more.  Here are related articles on globalization and sports.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 16, 2008 at 06:00 PM in Sports, Television | Permalink | Comments (1)

Why does India win so few Olympic medals?

A loyal MR reader writes to me:

Here’s an interesting fact: despite a population of more than 1 billion, India has won a grand total of 18 Olympic medals (mostly in field hockey):

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/India_at_the_Olympics

there are many obvious hypotheses, all of which may be partially right, yet one would think these apply to zillions of other countries that nevertheless have non-trivial Olympic presences.

So what is it?

My guess would be lack of government subsidies, combined with the possibility that non-democratic, authoritarian governments feel greater need to prove themselves on the international stage and to their people at home.  The subsidies matter for the infrastructure as much as for the athletes.  Throw in low social mobility, nutrition problems, and the relative lack of TV to inspire the young 'uns and you've got my answer.  Bad roads don't help any either.  Does this query have any other takers?

Here are some different yahoo attempts at an answer.  Here is a Guardian article.  Anirudh Krishna and Eric Haglund have a whole paper on the topic of social mobility.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 16, 2008 at 06:43 AM in Sports | Permalink | Comments (100)

Chile impressions

I hadn't been here for nineteen years and I barely recognize the place...

Santiago now feels like a huge city rather than a collection of neighborhoods.  The old center of town (Plaza de Armas) has become a bit of a dump but the outskirts are booming.  Parts of the city are even hip and trendy, a shock to anyone who knows the older Chile.  The variety of faces reminds me, oddly, of Oslo.  The "Dissidents Cemetery" in Valparaiso is full of Scottish and German names.  The seafood remains superb, most of all the clams and mussels and ceviche and shrimp and conch and abalone.  And the other stuff too.  Some restaurants, rather than giving you a lemon for your fish, offer you a small glass of lemon juice and a squeezer.  There are many more immigrants from the northern Andes than before and many more tourists from Brazil.

I was stunned by this, which is even more impressive when you are standing by it.  Some of the surrounding apartment blocks have a nice modern Art Deco style.  There remain deep pockets of poverty but overall the nation is pulling away from the other Latin American countries.  The Chileans basically need more of the same, rather than having to solve some deep structural problem.  Usually drivers stay in their lanes.  People don't always dress that well.  It was a page 3 story in El Mercurio, with photo, that "Oprah won a million votes for Obama."

It is a common claim that Catholicism is bad for growth but in fact Chile is arguably the most seriously Catholic of the South American countries.

Tomorrow we head off to a remote place which I dare not reveal; I am surprising Yana and Natasha and perhaps you too.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 16, 2008 at 06:34 AM in Travels | Permalink | Comments (13)

Nationalism versus Peace

Paul Krugman has good column today on the threat of nationalism to globalization.

Shortly before World War I another British author, Norman Angell, published a famous book titled “The Great Illusion,” in which he argued that war had become obsolete, that in the modern industrial era even military victors lose far more than they gain. He was right — but wars kept happening anyway....

...the belief that economic rationality always prevents war is an equally great illusion. And today’s high degree of global economic interdependence, which can be sustained only if all major governments act sensibly, is more fragile than we imagine.

Posted by Alex Tabarrok on August 15, 2008 at 02:27 PM in Economics | Permalink | Comments (26)

China fact of the day

After three games, the U.S. has the worst three-point shooting percentage of any team -- men's or women's -- in Beijing.

Here is more.  Can you build a simple model showing that this is in fact likely the case for the best team?

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 15, 2008 at 01:14 PM in Sports | Permalink | Comments (27)

Designing Monopoly

In Alabama it is illegal to recommend shades of paint without a license.  In Nevada it is illegal to move any large piece of furniture for purposes of design without a license.  In fact, hundreds of people have been prosecuted in Alabama and Nevada for practicing "interior design" without a license.  Getting a license is no easy task, typically requiring at least 4 years of education and 2 years of apprenticeship. Why do we need licenses laws for interior designers?  According to the American Society of Interior Designers (ASID) because,

Every decision an interior designer makes in one way or another affects the health, safety, and welfare of the public.

This hardly passes the laugh test.  Moreover as Carpenter and Ross point out in an excellent article in Regulation from which I have drawn:

In more than 30 years of advocating for regulation, the ASID and its ilk have yet to identify a single documented incident resulting in harm to anyone from the unlicensed practice of interior design...These laws simply have nothing to do with protecting the public.

Most states do not have license laws for interior designers but the unceasing lobbying efforts of the ASID have expanded such licenses.  Fortunately, unlicensed interior designers are fighting back!  I love that unlicensed designers in New Hampshire have formed a anti-license league, Live Free and DesignTuttle Lives!

Posted by Alex Tabarrok on August 15, 2008 at 07:46 AM in Economics, Law | Permalink | Comments (39)

John McCain's proposed tax hike

Jason Furman and Austan Goolsbee write:

As even Sen. McCain's advisers have acknowledged, his health-care plan would impose a $3.6 trillion tax increase over 10 years on workers. Sen. McCain's plan will count the health care you get from your employer as if it were taxable cash income. Even after accounting for Sen. McCain's proposed health-care tax credits, this plan would eventually leave tens of millions of middle-class families paying higher taxes. In addition, as the Congressional Budget Office has shown, this kind of plan would push people into higher tax brackets and increase the taxes people pay as their compensation rises, raising marginal tax rates by even more than if we let the entire Bush tax-cut plan expire tomorrow.

The piece is interesting throughout, for instance:

Overall, Sen. Obama's middle-class tax cuts are larger than his partial rollbacks for families earning over $250,000, making the proposal as a whole a net tax cut and reducing revenues to less than 18.2% of GDP -- the level of taxes that prevailed under President Reagan.

I would look more closely at the implied structure of fiscal commitments over time and what each candidate is likely to actually do (as opposed to promise) when it comes to Medicare and other health care issues.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 15, 2008 at 05:54 AM in Economics | Permalink | Comments (19)

A reform proposal for Zimbabwean inflation

And thus I suggest that Zimbabwe might as well have a go with free banking. One of the curios of the Zimbabwean economy is that it still has a significant presence from UK commercial banks (Barclays Zimbabwe, a subsidiary of Barclays plc is the largest, with Standard Chartered not far behind). Not very well informed UK journalists often discover this fact and then write ill-informed articles about "propping up Mugabe" (the reality is that neither company has made a cent in profit in Zimbabwe for about five years, but both of them have correctly assessed that they would hardly be doing the Zimbabweans a favour by destroying their domestic banking system. They don't "make loans to the Mugabe regime", they hold excess deposits (which are substantial as there aren't many viable commercial lending propositions in Zimbabwe) in short term government bonds.

Both BBZ and SC have substantially better credit ratings than the Zimbabwean state and justifiably so, and they have more of an interest in maintaining sound money in the long term than the Zimbabwean state too. They certainly don't have any interest in printing a note with twelve zeroes on it. Why not let them print banknotes and treat them as legal tender? There's my plan for monetary reform; doesn't work for most hyperinflationary countries as the local banking system is usually about as weak as the state but Zimbabwe is a special case.

That's from DSquared and right on the mark I would say.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 15, 2008 at 04:26 AM in Current Affairs | Permalink | Comments (18)

Assorted links

1. Six tips for enjoying a vacation, from Gretchen Rubin.  I endorse them all including the point about the almonds.

2. I never tire of reading about quantum weirdness.

3. Via Andrew Sullivan, American cities in the 1950s; beautiful photos.

4. The war on drugs, continued.  This article should be a sobering wake-up for many people.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 14, 2008 at 04:29 PM in Web/Tech | Permalink | Comments (19)

Three indicators of cultural success

As distinct from happiness, of course:

1. If a kid does badly in school, does the parent genuinely get mad at the kid and withhold affection?

2. Can people wait in an orderly line?

3. Can people stay in their designated lane when driving a car?

I wonder how these variables, if measured, would fare in cross-country growth regressions.  I covered these points and others in my talk in Buenos Aires.  Going way back, here is my sushi test for minimal levels of social trust.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 14, 2008 at 12:28 PM in Travels | Permalink | Comments (38)

Vending machine markets in everything

Medical marijuana, and right here in our own California.  But it's not so easy either:

...you can’t just walk in, drop a few coins and roll out with a bag of weed. The machines are situated in dispensaries, and surrounded by armed guards. We suspect the latter is to stop the machines getting ripped off, not to harass the legitimate users.

So how do you get your fix? You need to be preapproved by your doctor and then give a fingerprint. After that you get a card detailing your prescription. Head to the machine, 24-7, and pick up your baggie.

The article details many other interesting vending machines, of course with an emphasis on Japan.  Here are my previous posts on vending machines.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 14, 2008 at 07:53 AM in Medicine | Permalink | Comments (6)

The economics of tipping

Wayne, a loyal MR reader, writes to me:

I am going to start tipping based on an estimate of the number of checks a waiter presents per hour divided into my estimate of what his services are worth per hour without regard to the amount of the bill.

Of course the way it works now we tip as a percentage of the bill, paying a kind of flat tax unrelated to labor effort.  Was it really that hard to cover over the $100 bottle of wine?

Let's assume everyone behaves that way.  In essence we would tipping on the basis of how many plates are carried and not how much value is on the plate.  The end result would be better service in poor restaurants and worse service in more expensive restaurants.  People who patronize lower-price restaurants, or order lower-price entrees, would pay more in percentage terms in the form of tips.  To some extent the price of food in these restaurants would fall to compensate and waiter wages in the restaurants would fall too.  Waiters in the fancy restaurants would become more like fixed-price servants and in fact this already has happened in some fancy resorts.

If I wanted to defend Wayne's view, I would invoke the following claim: maybe we tip the fancy waiters to feel fancy ourselves but could there be a greater potency of tipping at lower price ranges, where waiter quality is harder to monitor?  Note also that more people eat in the lower price ranges, so shifting your tipping convention in that direction might bring a greater positive externality for society as a whole.   

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 14, 2008 at 06:58 AM in Economics | Permalink | Comments (49)

The new flight to the suburbs

But this time it's the dead people:

Detroit has lost half its population since its heyday of the 1950s, and every year the city hemorrhages an estimated 5,000 people more. First it was white flight to the suburbs; then with the city's continued spiral into poverty and violence, blacks began to flee to those same suburbs. And while census figures show that whites are returning to some of the nation's largest cities, Detroit is experiencing a flight of a different kind. As the Imbrunones' second funeral demonstrates, Detroit is experiencing the flight of the dead.

...From 2002 through 2007, the remains of about 1,000 people have been disinterred and moved out of the city, according to permits stored in metal filing cabinets in the city's department of health. Looked at in another way, for about every 30 living human beings who leave Detroit, one dead human being follows. Moreover, anecdotal evidence compiled by a Detroit professor suggests the figure may be twice as high, meaning city records may be incomplete and that thousands upon thousands of deceased people have been relocated from the city over the past 20 years.

Here is the story, interesting throughout.  In one example the relocation cost about $5,000.  I thank Hugo Lindgren for the pointer.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 14, 2008 at 05:07 AM in Current Affairs | Permalink | Comments (14)

Assorted links

1. Encyclopedia of Libertarianism, edited by Ronald Hamowy, Amazon link here.

2. Cato forum on global warming; I have yet to read this.  Here is my response to an earlier article by Manzi.

3. No way; not at all plausible.  No way.

4. For sanity on all matters Georgian, check out Matt Yglesias at his new blog location.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 13, 2008 at 02:10 PM in Web/Tech | Permalink | Comments (24)

Bold claims about time asymmetry

...given self-indication we should expect to be in a finite-probability universe with nearly the max possible number of observer-moment slots.  Such universes seem large enough to have at least one inflation origin, which then implies at least one (and perhaps infinitely many) large regions of time-asymmetry like what we see around us.  And if, as it seems, most observer-moments in such universes are in such regions, then we have explained why we see what we see.

That's from Robin Hanson, one of the least evil people I have met.  I do not have the background to judge this claim but it makes sense to me.  The question is whether you are willing to bite the bullet when you realize the other implications of what Robin is postulating, namely that you start dealing with expected values of infinity, most of all in ethics...

By the way, via Andrew Sullivan, here is new evidence for dark energy.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 13, 2008 at 11:20 AM in Science | Permalink | Comments (13)

China fact of the day

"Business is worse than at this time last year," said a receptionist at a 22-room hotel in Beijing's Chongwen district, where rooms cost $28 a night. "It's the season for traveling and last year the hotel was full. The Olympics should have brought business to Beijing, but the reality is too far from the expectation."

Many of the events are not very crowded, so:

To remedy the problem, officials are busing in teams of state-trained "cheer squads" identifiable by their bright yellow T-shirts to help fill the empty seats and improve the atmosphere.

Here is the story.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 13, 2008 at 09:13 AM in Sports | Permalink | Comments (6)

The Obama tax plan

Obama_tax

Those are the marginal tax rates and how they would change, analyzed here, via Greg Mankiw.  The key point is this: "Reducing a person’s tax credit as his income goes up also reduces his incentive to earn more income."  But before some of you get all upset, I do not intend this presentation as an endorsement of John McCain's utterances on fiscal policy.

Addendum: I am not saying that Obama is "raising taxes on the poor."  It is about marginal rates and yes marginal rates do matter for incentives.  This is a genuine problem of many indeed most anti-poverty programs, it is not an attempt to mislead anyone.  Don't treat everything as necessitating a response to right- or left-wing talking points.  You still ought to look at this diagram and think that the "notches" are too discrete and too strong.

Second addendum: Here is an Econ4Obama response.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 13, 2008 at 07:56 AM in Economics | Permalink | Comments (86)

My favorite things Chile

1. Fiction: I've already covered Roberto Bolaño plenty on MR; The Savage Detectives is his masterpiece but it's all worth reading.  The massive 2666 is due out later this year.  José Donoso's The Obscene Bird of Night, while hardly read in the U.S., seems to me one of the most gripping novels of the 20th century.  If you read the Amazon reviews you'll that others who have read it agree.  This is one of the least read first-rate novels I know.  It's not easy going, however, and it's taking me a long time to read through a mish-mash of the English and Spanish-language texts.  To top it all off, Isabel Allende has many fun books, most notably The House of the Spirits, which almost everyone will enjoy.  Chile is much stronger in literature than most people think.

2. Popular music: Ricardo Villalobos is the lead figure of Chilean techno, which is now I hear quite a vibrant genre; Taka Taka is quite a good mix album.  What else can you point me to?

3. Poetry: My favorite Neruda is Canto General, his retelling of Whitman's America but covering the entire hemisphere.  A masterpiece.  Estravagario is excellent and while I haven't read Residencia de la Tierra, it is considered another one of his classics.  The love poems are very nice though perhaps not his best material.  In any case he is one of the three or four best poets of the twentieth century.  Gabriela Mistral is talented but I cannot say I love her work.

4. Playwright: Ariel Dorfman's Death and the Maiden is good.

5. Favorite small town: There are so many, but how about Villarica, Punta Arenas, or that small port place next to La Serena whose name I cannot remember?  Chile is one of the world's best countries for lovely small towns.

6. Movie, set in or made in: Sorry folks, but I can't think of a single one.  What am I missing?

7. Seafood dish: Curantos.

8. Pianist: It's hard not to pick Claudio Arrau, but, despite his musical intelligence, I don't actually enjoy most of his (to me) lugubrious recordings.  I have heard he was much better live in concert.

9. Painter: Roberto Matta is the obvious choice.

The bottom line: Writing, writing, and more writing.  More generally, Chile is one of the very nicest countries on Earth.  The key is to get around to those small towns.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 13, 2008 at 05:48 AM in The Arts | Permalink | Comments (36)

What are the best games?

I loved this post by Bryan Caplan, even if I don't quite agree with it.  Here's his bottom line:

The best games are inter-disciplinary, combining economics and psychology. Games of pure strategic reasoning like chess are dry. Games of pure social interaction are a little silly. But games that bring together strategic reasoning and social interaction are a joy for heart and mind.

I do believe that Bryan's claim is true for smart people with no managerial or administrative responsibilities but not for those who experience such joys in the course of daily life and thus do not need the game.  Similarly, I believe that people with highly analytical day jobs do not usually go to chess clubs at night, even if they in principle enjoy the game of chess.

A simple one variable theory is that the qualities of the games you play reflect the qualities which are missing in your regular life.

There are a number of obvious exceptions to this theory.  For instance highly social people may play highly social games because their marginal utility for sociable activities does not decline very rapidly if at all.  Or you might play a particular game just because your wife makes you.  Still, my one variable theory is a starting point for understanding which people enjoy which games.

If you're wondering, I don't play any games at all.  I'm not saying I'm so wonderfully complete, but overall I prefer stories to games, at least at my current margins in life.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 12, 2008 at 01:28 PM in Education | Permalink | Comments (51)

Against Intellectual Monopoly

Against Intellectual Monopoly is a relentless, pounding, take no prisoners attack on patent and copyright law.  It joins Lessig's Free Culture and Heller's The Gridlock Economy as an instant classic and a must-read on these issues. 

Many people argue that the patent system has gone wrong in recent years, Boldrin and Levine argue that the patent system was rotten from the start.  James Watt they say was a "scoundrel" who with his politically-connected partner Matthew Boulton used the patent system to crush their innovative opposition and delay the industrial revolution. 

During the period of Watt's patents, the United Kingdom added about 750 horsepower of steam engines per year.  In the thirty years following Watt's patents, additional horsepower was added at a rate of more than 4,000 per year.  Moreover, the fuel efficiency of steam engines changed little during the period of Watt's patent; however between 1810 and 1835 it is estimated to have increased by a factor of five.

Will books be published without copyright?  Boldrin and Levine point out that the 9-11 Commission Report was profitably published by Norton despite being available free for download. Not to mention the fact that most of the great works of literature were published without copyright.  Boldrin and Levine are top-notch theorists but AIM is widely accessible and it succeeds best with its many historical discussions and contemporary anecdotes.

AIM does suffer in places from a lack of a lack of nuance and a surprising ability to ignore trade-offs.  Boldrin and Levine argue, for example, that among the reasons we don't need patents are a) because ideas aren't copied immediately, they take time to diffuse, b) first movers have significant advantages and c) trade secrecy is often a more effective "means of appropriating returns" than patents.

Quite right on all three counts but each of these reasons also explains why patents are less costly than one might at first imagine.  After all, what Boldrin and Levine are really saying is that intellectual monopoly would exist even without intellectual property law

A standard model used to explain why patents might be useful implicitly assumes that ideas are transmitted instantly at zero cost.  Boldrin and Levine smash the premise of this argument but the premise is sufficient for the conclusion not necessary.  Indeed, once you acknowledge that the slow diffusion of ideas helps entrepreneurs to appropriate the returns to their innovations it becomes an open question of how slow is best?   When is the appropriability of returns strong and when is it weak?  Doesn't it differ for different goods?  Shouldn't intellectual property law recognize these differences?  It's clear, for example, that ideas are diffusing more quickly than ever before.  On Boldrin and Levine's argument, faster diffusion of ideas implies lower appropriability and thus a stronger argument for intellectual property law.  Needless to say Boldrin and Levine are too busy using a "mallet to smash shiny myths" to make this argument.  (To be fair, they are more nuanced in the conclusion.).

Similarly, Boldrin and Levine argue that the larger the market the less patent protection is needed, hence globalization implies less patent protection.  Again, quite right (see also my paper, Patent Theory versus Patent Law, on this point).  But you won't see Boldrin and Levine drawing the corollary conclusion that more intellectual property rights are optimal the smaller the market, despite the fact that we have a very successful example where increased patent rights for smaller markets generated considerably more innovation, namely the Orphan Drug Act.

For economists, it's also surprising how little marginal analysis you find in AIM.  For example, Boldrin and Levine ask, Did Rowling really need a billion dollars to write Harry Potter?  Surely, a few million would have been enough.  But that's like saying that taxing lottery winnings won't reduce the number of buyers because the winner will still get a huge return on her dollar of investment.

The bottom line is that that there is a Laffer curve for innovation - more appropriability increases innovation at first but innovation declines when appropriability extends too far. I agree with Boldrin and Levine that rent-seeking has put us on the wrong side of the Laffer curve for innovation.  We need to reduce intellectual monopoly with patent reform, less copyright protection, and a greater use of patent substitutes like prizes.  But unfortunately, when it comes to innovation there is no invisible hand theorem which moves us automatically to the top of the curve. 

Posted by Alex Tabarrok on August 12, 2008 at 07:46 AM in Economics, Law | Permalink | Comments (44)

As good a time as any

Kathy G writes:

I thought it was as good a time as any to begin a project I've been contemplating for a while now: an occasional series of posts about why Wal-Mart is the single institution that, above and beyond all others, represents the despotism, moral depravity, and sheer viciousness of American life in the 21st century.  As surely as the motto of this humble blog is "Écrasez l'infâme!," there is no better synecdoche for the modern infâme than Wal-Mart.

Here is post one in the series.  Here is the next paragraph:

Why Wal-Mart? For one thing, Wal-Mart is huge. It is America's, and the world's, biggest company (in terms of revenues), and also America's, and the world's, largest private sector employer. Using the figure listed here on Walmart's 2007 revenues, and the figures for the U.S. GDP in 2007 listed here and here (which all give slightly different estimates for the GDP), I calculate that Wal-Mart's revenues are equal to approximately 2.7% of the gross domestic product of the United States.

It is argued that Wal-Mart has a negative net effect on U.S. wages.  I would sooner stress that Wal-Mart has boosted Chinese wages and lowered inflation rates (and thus raised living standards) for many poorer Americans.  On the negative side it might be argued that "jobs selling toys" pay less than "jobs making toys."  Even if that is true, perhaps America would not have kept the jobs making toys anyway, thus making Wal-Mart a net increase in the demand for labor.  Alternatively, you might argue that Wal-Mart's competitive prowess induces other firms to work harder to cut labor costs.  Again, this story works only if you start with a net increase in the demand for labor from the side of Wal-Mart.  Can the induced "get rid of the x-inefficiency of overpaid workers in other firms" effect be so large?  I am still inclined to side with Wal-Mart as providing a net increase in the demand for labor.  Kathy G, it seems, sees the matter differently.

Read the whole thing.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 12, 2008 at 05:36 AM in Economics | Permalink | Comments (83)

Please solve for the equilibrium

That’s what some environmentalists said they feared when Planktos, a California-based concern, announced it would embark on a private effort to fertilize part of the South Atlantic with iron, in hopes of producing carbon-absorbing plankton blooms that the company could market as carbon offsets. Countries bound by the London Convention, an international treaty governing dumping at sea, issued a “statement of concern” about the work and a United Nations group called for a moratorium, but it is not clear what would have happened had Planktos not abandoned the effort for lack of money.

Here is the whole story.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 12, 2008 at 04:04 AM in Science | Permalink | Comments (9)

Assorted links

1. How artists work

2. Oil and the dollar

3. Where Argentina is headed

4. China restaurant name of the day

5. Markets in everything, China style (food again, photos)

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 11, 2008 at 05:02 PM in Web/Tech | Permalink | Comments (10)

Someone once asked me what I thought of Slavoj Zizek

Here is an excerpt:

Q: What does love feel like? A: Like a great misfortune, a monstrous parasite, a permanent state of emergency that ruins all small pleasures. Q: Have you ever said 'I love you' and not meant it? A: All the time. When I really love someone, I can only show it by making aggressive and bad-taste remarks. Q: Tell us a secret. A: Communism will win.

Here is the full interview, via Finoculous.  It contains further revelations.  A few months ago I spent some time browsing his latest book in Borders.  He can't simply admit: "I was a fool to follow Mao and Stalin" but instead he has to push the line "I just need to reinterpret everybody more and I will still find some movement for "egalitarian terror" [those two words are his] to sign on to."  Grow up, I say, yet he is almost sixty years old.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 11, 2008 at 12:59 PM in Philosophy | Permalink | Comments (30)

How much is a professor subsidized?

On average, full-time faculty members at the University of New Mexico’s Gallup campus were being subsidized to the tune of $10,554 apiece.

The word subsidization, in this context, refers to the subsidy from the university and not from government per se.  That's the difference between the cost of the professor minus the revenue he or she brings in from tuition.  Here is the full article, with further links.  I am not sure how this estimate allocates various fixed costs (does a professor have to "pay for" the lawn care service?), but for the time being does that matter?  The important truth is that while universities think in these terms all the time, they are rarely if ever willing to make their implicit estimates public or see how those estimates might be improved.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 11, 2008 at 07:20 AM in Education | Permalink | Comments (19)

Auto buybacks backfire

In my post, Gun Buyback Misfires, I pointed out that a) gun buybacks encourage people to turn in old, low-quality guns that are unlikely to be used in any case and b) gun buybacks can encourage people to buy and hold more guns because the buyback is a form of insurance, if the gun gets old or stops working you can sell it to the police.

In an excellent post Steve Levitt points out that Alan Blinder's proposal for auto buybacks suffers from exactly the same problems.

...the majority of vehicles that are turned in will not have been driven much, if at all. Indeed, I suspect one of the most visible responses to this program will be a new market for mechanics fixing up cars that don’t run at all just enough so that they can be driven to the government’s lot to collect the cash.

The biggest problem with this policy, however, is the way it distorts long run incentives. Let’s say the rules of the program say that a car must be at least fifteen years old to qualify for a big government subsidy to scrap it. This gives powerful incentives to people with twelve-year-old cars they were planning on scrapping to keep driving them for three more years to collect the government bounty. Instead of reducing the number of clunkers on the road, this program could actually lead to an increase!

Posted by Alex Tabarrok on August 11, 2008 at 07:10 AM in Current Affairs, Economics, Law | Permalink | Comments (17)

CEO compensation: the latest results

Here's the latest:

We analyze the long-run trends in executive compensation using a new panel dataset of top executives in large publicly-held firms from 1936 to 2005, collected from corporate reports. This historic perspective reveals several surprising new facts that conflict with inferences based only on data from the recent decades. First, the median real value of compensation was remarkably flat from the end of World War II to the mid-1970s, even during times of rapid economic expansion and aggregate firm growth. This finding contrasts sharply with the steep upward trajectory of pay over the past thirty years, which coincided with a period of similarly large increases in aggregate firm size. A second surprising finding is that the sensitivity of an executive's wealth to firm performance was not inconsequentially small for most of our sample period. Thus, recent years were not the first time when compensation arrangements served to align managerial incentives with those of shareholders. Taken together, the long-run trends in the level and structure of compensation pose a challenge to several common explanations for the widely-debated surge in executive pay of the past several decades, including changes in firms' size, rent extraction by CEOs, and increases in managerial incentives.

I don't quite think these results are "surprising" any more, though they would have been three years ago.  In my view the analytically noxious "cultural factors" are looming larger in the explanation than we used to think.  It's become increasingly hard to deny top producers what they, in economic terms, are worth.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 11, 2008 at 06:37 AM in Economics | Permalink | Comments (16)

Which states have the highest carbon dioxide emissions?

In millions of metric tons:

Texas: 688

California: 394

Pennsylvania: 275

Ohio: 262

Florida: 256

Illinois, Indiana, and New York come next.  I didn't know that Texas would rank so high on the list.  And it's interesting that #3, 4, and 5 are among the major swing states in many presidential elections.  That's not good news for a lot of reform ideas.

This information is from the fun to browse The Measure of America: American Human Development Report 2008-2009, a Colombia/SSRC book.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 10, 2008 at 12:37 PM in Data Source | Permalink | Comments (46)

Topsy-Turvy

Economists who secretly want to be rock stars and rock stars who secretly want to be economists.

Posted by Alex Tabarrok on August 10, 2008 at 07:01 AM in Music | Permalink | Comments (7)

Seven Days in the Art World

Asher has no dealer; his work is not generally for sale.  When I ask the artist whether he resists the art market, he says dryly: "I don't avoid commodity forms.  In 1966 I made these plastic bubbles.  They were shaped like paint blisters that came an inch off the wall.  I sold one of those."

That is from the very fun Seven Days in the Art World, by Sarah Thornton.  Here is Felix Salmon on the book.  How about this part?:

The artist Keith Tyson admits that he had a gambling problem when he was a nominee in 2002.  "I had an intellectual interest in chance as well as a fantasy of beating the laws of mathematics," he said.  "The Turner Prize was my first opportunity to bet when I could have an effect.  My odds were seven to two.  In a four-horse race, that is an insult.  I had absolutely no choice.  I'm sure it is solely because of the bets I put on myself that I went from being the underdog to the favorite.  I won't say how much I took home, but won more from betting than I did from winning what was then a twenty-thousand pound prize."

In other words, prizes, plus a betting market on the prize winner, create especially strong incentives.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on August 10, 2008 at 05:10 AM in The Arts | Permalink | Comments (3)