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The countercyclical asset, a continuing series
A study last year may lend some credence to the legend. In “Praying for Recession: The Business Cycle and Protestant Religiosity in the United States,” David Beckworth, an assistant professor of economics at Texas State University, looked at long-established trend lines showing the growth of evangelical congregations and the decline of mainline churches and found a more telling detail: During each recession cycle between 1968 and 2004, the rate of growth in evangelical churches jumped by 50 percent. By comparison, mainline Protestant churches continued their decline during recessions, though a bit more slowly.
Here is the full story. Here is the paper. Here is earlier discussion from Mark Thoma's. Here is David Beckworth's blog.
Posted by Tyler Cowen on December 14, 2008 at 12:33 PM in Religion | Permalink
Comments
Looks like people skipped the Book of Job.
Posted by: Matthew at Dec 14, 2008 1:01:47 PM
Matthew:
And now, the the Books of Jobs are empty.
Posted by: brian at Dec 14, 2008 1:10:58 PM
Since all we are dealing with here are correlations, it is quite possible that both recessions and evangelical church growth rates are actually linked to a third factor, which drives both. I would like to suggest that recessions and increases evangelical church growth rate are both caused by decreases in the bust-to-waist ratio of Playboy playmate models:
http://psp.sagepub.com/cgi/content/abstract/30/9/1186
Posted by: Josh at Dec 14, 2008 1:12:22 PM
Seems to me a classic example of an inferior good.
Posted by: Alex C. at Dec 14, 2008 1:49:40 PM
Seems to me a classic example of an inferior good.
Actually, your soul is priceless.
Posted by: Bob Murphy at Dec 14, 2008 2:37:50 PM
um, econoblogs are massively countercyclical too
Posted by: babar at Dec 14, 2008 4:56:21 PM
In a recession evangelicals get to say "I told you so. Debt is bad.
Prov 22:7
The rich ruleth over the poor, and the borrower is servant to the lender.
Posted by: floccina at Dec 15, 2008 10:31:28 AM