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...the modelling, done by the world-renowned Hadley Centre at the Met Office but using emissions calculated by the Stockholm Network, highlighted three problems: 'Current policy comes in too slowly, it internationalises too slowly and it binds developing countries too late.'
Privately, many climate scientists believe it will be impossible to meet the 2C target, but they are reluctant to say so because they do not want to discourage moves to cut emissions.
Here is more and that is from The Guardian not National Review. I believe that some parts of the world will be in for a very rough ride.
By the way, while I was in Japan I read that a) about half the world's people are consuming subsidized energy, not taxed energy, and b) Chinese energy-users are typically paying about half of the world price. Recent energy price increases in India have induced riots. Those are all signs of the magnitude of the problem.
Posted by Tyler Cowen on June 9, 2008 at 06:22 AM in Science | Permalink
Comments
"while I was in Japan I read that a) about half the world's people are consuming subsidized energy, not taxed energy, and b) Chinese energy-users are typically paying about half of the world price."
Interesting stuff. You recall where you saw that? I could use the cite.
Posted by: goodnessOfFit at Jun 9, 2008 9:56:19 AM
An elephant which has recently wandered into a deserted room in the economics faculty has written on his side (he must be masculine because he shows signs of going musth)"Managing big exogenous relative price increases". Have we a way of taming this elephant without wrecking the place in the process?
Posted by: David Heigham at Jun 9, 2008 10:00:45 AM
Well, there's a paper right there: "The effects of energy liberalization on C02 emmissions."
Posted by: Keith at Jun 9, 2008 10:43:26 AM
I find no value in any mention of human-caused CO2 global warming when there is no corresponding mention of the 2-3 degree 1500 year +-500 warming / cooling cycle. A fart on a farm isn't noticable.
Posted by: Russell Nelson at Jun 10, 2008 3:03:12 AM
We haven't seen warming in 10 years. The past year and a half has seen a solar minimum drive temperatures down by 0.7C. Gore told us that 0.6C of warming over 100 years was "too fast to be natural", but nature just slapped every global warming theorist across the face.
Whatever CO2's forcing is in the atmosphere, it's less than what we thought in the late 90's, that's painfully clear now. Man's influence is much less than natural variability, which raises the question: what makes us think limiting CO2 output will change the climate or our lives in any noticeable way?
Posted by: Daniel Taylor at Jun 11, 2008 7:25:54 AM
Oh yes...that solar minimum? It and its cooling influence is predicted to last for 10-30 years. Solar observers are saying the behavior is nearly identical to the little cooling that occurred mid 20th century.
Global warming on pause, news at a 11.
Posted by: Daniel Taylor at Jun 11, 2008 7:27:19 AM
