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The Greenspan Children
The fertility rate in the United States is the highest it has been in 35 years. Are Alan Greenspan and predatory lenders to praise or blame? You be the judge.
Posted by Alex Tabarrok on February 1, 2008 at 02:37 PM in Economics | Permalink
Comments
The praise or blame goes to whomever opened the borders of the U.S. to any and all comers. The fertility rate is converging with Latin countries.
Posted by: 8 at Feb 1, 2008 4:48:19 PM
Exactly, 8. The most popular boy's name is José.
Posted by: Dennis Mangan at Feb 1, 2008 4:55:24 PM
Thirty-second most popular is almost most popular.
Posted by: MikeP at Feb 1, 2008 5:24:48 PM
Some other western countries have also seen small upticks in the birthrate (France & Canada). I'd put it down to immigration rather than anything else (though I did find sad humor from the completely unsubstantiated response that the economist from the environment institute gave). Using MikeP's link for the U.S, look up the trends in the various spellings of Muhammad/Mohammad to identify trends...
Posted by: Shaun M. at Feb 1, 2008 5:57:29 PM
Alright, it's only the most popular name in the two most populous states: http://geography.about.com/library/misc/blnames.htm
"Jose has become the most popular boy's name in California and Texas..."
It's number 2 in Arizona.
Posted by: Dennis Mangan at Feb 1, 2008 6:04:10 PM
"Jose has become the most popular boy's name in California and Texas..."
...in 1998.
In 2006, it is number 7 in California and number 5 in Arizona.
I'll give you Texas though.
Posted by: MikeP at Feb 1, 2008 6:13:34 PM
I'm pretty convinced that it is a factor, to a certain extent. Not so much in the sense that owning a house raises fertility. Rather, it is the size of the house that counts. I don't blame the Japanese couples for having one child on average. Try raising 2 kids in a 500 square foot coffin without losing your sanity (I don't know much about housing is Spain or Italy, but I suspect they also face availibility/space constraints).
And for all you Mexican bashers, try reading the source for once. The uptick in fertility applies to almost all ethic and demographic groups.
Posted by: Andres at Feb 2, 2008 2:46:26 PM
We're seeing an illegitimacy boom.
The number of births to married non-Hispanic white women fell 0.4% from 2005 to 2006, while the number of births to unmarried Hispanic women increased 9.6% over the same span. That's a huge change for just one year.
This does not bode well for the future.
I explained all the facts about the 2006 demographic disaster here:
http://www.vdare.com/sailer/071209_births.htm
Posted by: Steve Sailer at Feb 2, 2008 7:07:32 PM
We're seeing an illegitimacy boom.
The number of births to married non-Hispanic white women fell 0.4% from 2005 to 2006, while the number of births to unmarried Hispanic women increased 9.6% over the same span. That's a huge change for just one year.
This does not bode well for the future.
I explained all the facts about the 2006 demographic disaster here:
http://www.vdare.com/sailer/071209_births.htm
Posted by: Steve Sailer at Feb 2, 2008 7:08:23 PM
Correlation does not equal causation. Repeat as many times as necessary.
Posted by: techreseller at Feb 7, 2008 8:12:12 AM
Trying to separate the housing boom from immigration is foolish. Who do you
think built all those new houses?
Posted by: nick at Feb 8, 2008 1:32:11 PM
Posted by: 深圳翻译公司 at Feb 23, 2008 9:04:08 AM
