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The roots of medical innovation
In a much-praised piece, Jon Cohn argues that the NIH, not commercial incentives, is the key to American medical innovation. He writes:
The great breakthroughs in the history of medicine, from the development of the polio vaccine to the identification of cancer-killing agents, did not take place because a for-profit company saw an opportunity and invested heavily in research. They happened because of scientists toiling in academic settings. "The nice thing about people like me in universities is that the great majority are not motivated by profit," says Cynthia Kenyon, a renowned cancer researcher at the University of California at San Francisco. "If we were, we wouldn't be here." And, while the United States may be the world leader in this sort of research, that's probably not--as critics of universal coverage frequently claim--because of our private insurance system. If anything, it's because of the federal government.
The single biggest source of medical research funding, not just in the United States but in the entire world, is the National Institutes of Health (NIH): Last year, it spent more than $28 billion on research, accounting for about one-third of the total dollars spent on medical research and development in this country (and half the money spent at universities).
A few points should be made:
1. The strength of American medical innovation stems from the combination between the NIH, private philanthropy, and commercial incentives. Cohn has lots of (just) praise for the NIH, as basic research is often a public good. But he doesn't say enough about philanthropy, and he confuses pro-NIH evidence with showing the superfluity of commercial incentives.
2. Send some flowers to Cynthia Kenyon, whom I could not personally quote in this manner with a straight face. You would never know that universities are profiting from drugs, and patenting them, at an unprecedented rate. Universities are also forming partnerships with drug companies at an unprecedented rate.
3. Companies must work very hard to translate basic research into usable applied form and the U.S. is a clear world leader in this regard. A drug idea is not the same as a drug. Cohn at times admits this, but is he really denying that the supply curve here slopes upward with regard to expected profits? You can cite all kind of "mixed" factors about commercial incentives but at the end of the day that is the basic question.
4. Statins, Prozac, and anti-AIDS drugs are notable examples of #1. Or try this list of Merck products. Merck and Pfizer are much more than simply marketing or doctor bribery machines, although admittedly they are that too.
5. The standard arguments against commercial "me-too" drugs are considerably overrated.
6. FDA restrictions are at least partly responsible for the costly, overly concentrated, and blockbuster-oriented nature of U.S. and other pharmaceutical companies. Tight regulations discriminate against the small company and the small idea. Even if you think tight regulations are a good idea, don't blame these tendencies on the big bad corporations.
7. It is odd for Cohn to cite me as his libertarian foil, since the referenced piece very clearly cites the NIH as a critical factor behind American medical innovation. This odd citation again represents the desire to replace "anti-commercial" arguments with an easier-to-make "pro-NIH" case.
9. The NIH works as well as it does because the money is mostly protected from Congress. It is not a success which can easily be replicated. The more money is at stake, the more Congress wants to influence allocation. We should guard this feature of the system jealously and try to learn from it. If we can.
The bottom line: Arguments for the NIH are not arguments against the importance of commercial incentives for medical innovation.
Addendum: Read Clive Crook too.
Posted by Tyler Cowen on November 14, 2007 at 07:00 AM in Medicine | Permalink
Comments
Maybe I'm just simple, but I'd prefer that public institutions (with majority pubic funding) put their innovations in the public domain. If anyone wants to develop intellectual property, let them do that with a majority of their funding from the private sector.
I fear that 'public goods' are locked under patents and only sometimes sold (what percentage sit unlicensed?)
When they are licensed, they are very much less 'public goods.'
Posted by: odograph at Nov 14, 2007 8:05:18 AM
Sorry about that typo, bad eyes in the morning.
Posted by: odograph at Nov 14, 2007 8:06:29 AM
"The nice thing about people like me in universities is that the great majority are not motivated by profit,"
Perhaps not, but the $150,000/year plus salaries and discretionary funds to travel to conferences throughout the world don't hurt.
Posted by: Colormebadd at Nov 14, 2007 8:45:31 AM
So what are anti-drug-company people proposing? Getting rid of the companies, and having one national drug company?
Based on my reading the NIH is good at the initial research/discovery, and the drug companies are really good at manufacturing, testing, refining the discovered drugs. Seems to me there is room for both.
Plus nothing is stopping people like Krugman from starting their own profitless drug company. Make drugs and sell them at cost. Krugman seems to think it is easy.
Posted by: anon at Nov 14, 2007 8:56:52 AM
The phrase "single biggest source of medical research funding", in reference to the NIH, is potentially misleading. Pharmaceutical companies spend about twice as much on R&D as does the NIH.
Posted by: Alex Tabarrok at Nov 14, 2007 9:11:15 AM
Cynthia_Kenyon is a Grade-A sucker. Universities are absolutely for-profit institutions. What, you think
they're making sure you get textbooks at costs and don't overcharge you for all kinds of things just
because they can? They do make a profit, and do distribute it; they just don't call the recipients
"stockholders". They're "trustees" and whatnot.
Thanks, Cynthia_Kenyon, for your tireless devotion to someone's non-profit profit!
Also, if the stuff the Big Pharma does is so easy and contributes zero value, why don't these noble
"non-profit" universities and government agencies convert their innovations into marketable products and suck out this easy money themselves?
Oh, right, because...
Posted by: Person at Nov 14, 2007 9:19:44 AM
If Cynthia Kenyon were correct, that would be great. We could halve all their salaries and hire twice as many researchers and they'd work just as hard and be just as easy to recruit.
Posted by: Joshua Macy at Nov 14, 2007 9:38:21 AM
Pfizer spends 2X as much on 'Selling, informational and administrative expense' as they do on R&D. It seems they are more dedicated to marketing their drugs than developing them.
What percentage of US medical costs is made up of direct-to-patient advertising that was once banned?
Posted by: winstongator at Nov 14, 2007 9:57:31 AM
Two facts:
1. NIH is good. NIH is government. You libertarians stop whining and learn from it.
2. Cynthia Kenyon knows better than anyone reading this where she prefers to work (academia or industry). The duties and reward structures are different between the two. I get a kick out of libertarians telling others they are wrong about personal preferences.
And one opinion:
1. Cynthia Kenyon would probably find Tyler's flowers patronizing and ask him to shove them up his a--.
Posted by: MostlyAPragmatist at Nov 14, 2007 10:16:29 AM
MostlyAPragmatist:
1. Tyler_Cowen agreed that part of what NIH does is a public good. I agree too, and even think abolition of
NIH alone would be bad. It's less clear, however, whether more basic research would be done if NIH *plus*
most of government were eliminated.
2. No one denied that Cynthia_Kenyon's satisfaction is real. My point was just that it derives
mainly from self-deception. Which is okay too, but if you want to suffer a hit to your income
so that you can bask in the glory of delusions, maybe LSD is more your thang.
Posted by: Person at Nov 14, 2007 10:38:07 AM
Of course, how many of the drugs produced are of marginal or no benefit? How much research is faked? After having practiced medicine and done research, I would suggest a lot. There are a lot of rent-seeking losses in the private market, there are huge incentives to treat rather than cure, and, arguably, the commercialization of university research may have contributed to the slowdown in the pharma sector just as much, since profit incentives are quite different than those involved in research.
Posted by: akatsuki at Nov 14, 2007 10:38:33 AM
"Pfizer spends 2X as much on 'Selling, informational and administrative expense' as they do on R&D."
Argh, everyone's favorite misleading cudgel. "...and administrative" counts all the normal overhead that companies have. Secretaries, coffee, phone systems, janitors, legal departments, finance departments, etc.
Unless you think the secretaries shouldn't get paid and that they should work in the dard, it should be entirely unshocking that marketing AND administrative expense is more than R&D.
Posted by: Sebastian Holsclaw at Nov 14, 2007 10:45:36 AM
"Of course, how many of the drugs produced are of marginal or no benefit? "
Please give examples. Having taken multiple medicines (many different ones, as new better ones have come out over the years) every day for 16 years, I have no idea what you mean.
Posted by: mcwop at Nov 14, 2007 10:47:26 AM
MostlyAPragmatist,
"1. NIH is good. NIH is government. You libertarians stop whining and learn from it."
Most libertarian accepts that there are government programs and agencies that are public goods and really do their job well. The problem libertarians have is that many non-libertarians suffer from the logical fallacy suggesting that since there is a government agency that is good at something there is no need for private institutions in this domain.
Your dumba** comment shows you have no idea what your talking about when talking about libertarians.
"2. Cynthia Kenyon knows better than anyone reading this where she prefers to work (academia or industry). The duties and reward structures are different between the two. I get a kick out of libertarians telling others they are wrong about personal preferences."
Cynthia Kenyon
UC San Francisco Salary: $115,657, Total pay: $262,072
Source:
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/news/casalary/uc?Submit=Page&agency=UC&otmax=&o=800&term=&sort=&ord=
She's not very honest in her quote. That salary alone puts her in the top earners in income and with the all her benefits included (plus tenure) she's at the very top.
At least you got the patronizing thing correct. I'm pretty sure that's what Tyler was going for.
Posted by: Ken at Nov 14, 2007 10:50:44 AM
In many science/engineering fields including mine, new academics make more in salary than new industry scientists (community colleges and small/medium liberal arts schools excluded). The same is true of experienced academicians vs. experienced non-managerial industry scientists. They also have more potential to earn profits from their inventions than do industry scientists whose contributions are essentially owned 100% by their employer. True, academics work much longer hours, so the discrepancy doesn't surprise me, but I would argue just the opposite of Cohn, that the more money-driven and entrepreneurial science Ph.D.s actually now choose academia over industry. This certainly jives with what I saw my student colleagues choose as they found jobs.
Posted by: Paul N at Nov 14, 2007 10:57:13 AM
First some love for Tyler of whom I spoke rudely in my previous post:
The fact that Tyler is generally anti-government yet grants the NIH is a public good takes intellectual honesty. This intellectual honesty is the reason I like this website even though I often disagree with it. (This goes for Alex, too.)
Now, to Person,
Lay off Cynthia Kenyon. There is no evidence that Cynthia is self-deluded. Just because she doesn't wear sack cloth, bathe in cold rain water, and eat hardtack, doesn't mean she's motivated by profit. Just because she thinks jobs in academia are different from jobs in industry doesn't mean she's ignorant of the links between the two. I don't think you can convince me that all people who are happier working in academia than in industry are deluded.
Posted by: MostlyAPragmatist at Nov 14, 2007 11:00:53 AM
Mr. Cohn, Ms. Kenyon, please may I introduce you to Mr. Venter....
Posted by: Rimfax at Nov 14, 2007 11:04:44 AM
In Dengjian Jin's Dynamics of Knowledge Regimes, he notes that this method of funding research and then commercializing it (including the advertising) is typical of the American knowledge creation process and leads to US dominance in this sector. NIH funding and creative destruction in the biotechnology sector are results of our social preferences for individuality and contractualism. NIH is thus a result, not a means.
Posted by: Eric H at Nov 14, 2007 11:15:08 AM
Crud, I meant both a result and a means.
Posted by: Eric H at Nov 14, 2007 11:17:45 AM
MAP: There *is* evidence that Cynthia_Kenyon is deluded, namely, that she believes universities are genuinely
non-profit. Despite the implications of your last post, this fact is *independent* of any university's current
industry connections. The fact is, universities charge at the profit maximizing level, and distribute these
profits, untaxed, to quasi-shareholders. Believing that what you are doing is non-profit, while working for
a university, *is* a delusion.
Posted by: Person at Nov 14, 2007 11:31:19 AM
Phillipe Aghion and coauthors have an excellent paper on this subject: "Academic Freedom, Private-Sector Focus, and the Process of Innovation" (available on his Harvard webpage).
Their model turns on the fact that academics are free to research more-or-less whatever they please (which is great for early stage research) but that private sector firms can direct scientists towards higher-payoff activities (and pay them extra to compensate for the reduced freedom). The bottom line? There comes a point in the development process where it's better for private firms to pick up the baton.
Posted by: Ali at Nov 14, 2007 11:33:22 AM
Many people who are currently in academia have alternative career options that may involve making a lot more money, while doing the same kind of fundamental work. For example, just because Professor Kenyon makes a lot of money right now doesn't mean she couldn't make a lot more leaving her academic position and working full-time at a private sector biotech company.
She is not an economist, but if she were, perhaps she would have said that her incentives *at the margin* do not lie simply in making more profit.
You would never know that universities are profiting from drugs, and patenting them, at an unprecedented rate. Universities are also forming partnerships with drug companies at an unprecedented rate.
Professor Kenyon's quote -- naively stated as it may have been -- was about individuals who work at universities, NOT about universities themselves.
Posted by: qb at Nov 14, 2007 11:52:40 AM
Ken--
I apologize. I should not have used the term "libertarian" in my message. I forgot the cardinal rule: Don't attribute characteristics to or belief in an -ism that you are not yourself committed to.
I'm honestly reassured that you and others who believe as you recognize that some government programs are beneficial. This isn't always clear from the timbre of the comments on this site.
Posted by: MostlyAPragmatist at Nov 14, 2007 12:10:05 PM
Jonas Salk's polio vaccine research was primarily funded by the private National Foundation for Infantile Paralysis (March of Dimes), not by the NIH or commercial interests. That said, the NIH is a national treasure. About eighty Nobel prize winners have had NIH support at some time in their careers. Biomedical innovation is one of the few bright spots in the American economy - it's one industry that doesn't seem to be exporting itself to China.
Posted by: Ned at Nov 14, 2007 12:38:33 PM
Speaking of academics, it's odd to see such an overlap between the people who believe academic bioscientists are selfless do-gooders and the people who believe academic economists are libertarian ideologues who only rarely and surpisingly give credit to the government.
My experience is that the Tylers and the Cynthias of the world have a similar mix of motivations for improving the world, truth-seeking, and income-seeking. But, I'm still waiting for Cynthia to demonstrate her altruism by sending us some restaurant recommendations.
Posted by: DK at Nov 14, 2007 2:10:03 PM