The Divorce Myth: What is Really Happening?

I began my week guest blogging by noting a widely under-appreciated point: that divorce is falling (here, continued here).  Those posts led a bunch of folks, in the comments and elsewhere, to ask about recent trends, to question the possible confounding influence of changes in marriage rates, and for requests to actually show, rather than summarize the data.

Good news: Despite blogging all week, Betsey Stevenson and I have managed to put together a shortish paper describing the trends in marital stability over recent decades, drawing on most available data sources.  Read away here.  The paper is largely pictures and tables, so should provide useful grist for discussion.  And of course, we are open to any useful suggestions.