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Auditing natural resource revenues

When my editor and I were exchanging drafts of this piece, my spam blocker wouldn't let them through.  There is too much talk of Nigeria and diamonds!  Here is one excerpt:

Paul Collier, an economics professor at Oxford University, has a new and potentially powerful idea.  In his recently published book, “The Bottom Billion: Why the Poorest Countries Are Failing and What Can Be Done About It” (Oxford University Press), Professor Collier favors an international charter — some widely publicized guidelines that countries can voluntarily adopt — to give transparency in spending wealth from natural resources.  A country would pledge to have formal audits of its revenues and their disposition.  Imagine PricewaterhouseCoopers auditing the copper revenues of Zambia and issuing a public report.

It's not as futile as it might sound:

Professor Collier’s proposal at first glance seems toothless; a truly corrupt country probably wouldn’t follow the provisions of the charter, which, after all, is voluntary.  Yet citizens could pressure their government to follow such a charter, and the idea of the charter would create a focus for political opposition and signify international support for concrete reform.

Foreign corporations would bring further pressures to heed the charter.  Multinational companies that are active in corrupt countries might receive bad domestic publicity. Eventually the companies might push for adherence to the charter, even if the charter limited their ability to bribe.  In another context, De Beers has been stung by bad publicity about “blood diamonds,” and the company is now a force for positive change where it operates.

In the optimistic case, a few poor countries start abiding by the charter. Those countries prosper and attract more investment and status in the international community.  The pressure to adopt the charter would then spread.  Of course, promoting the charter costs relatively little and the potential benefits are significant.  International pressures did eventually force a change in South African apartheid.  So maybe they can improve other countries as well.

Did you know that Tony Blair was already promoting such a charter?  And the Nigerian government (really) already commissioned a private sector audit and now has enacted a version of this idea into law?  We'll see how that goes, but Nigerian flirtation with rule of law ideas is one of the underreported stories of this year.

Paul Collier's The Bottom Billion is a very exciting and important book.  It is rare to read something on economic development that is true, non-trivial, and potentially useful.  I recommend this book highly, it is also short and easy to read.  Here is a good review of the book by Niall Ferguson.

Here is the whole column.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on July 12, 2007 at 07:38 AM in Economics | Permalink

Comments

"International pressures did eventually force a change in South African apartheid."

Hmmm... that’s misleading. I wouldn’t say that it was useless, but very far from the whole story.

Posted by: stuart at Jul 12, 2007 7:58:39 AM

I cannot wait to get my hands on this book. An author proposing a solid first step toward incremental positive change rather than a give-every-one-$3-and-a-bar-of-soap quick fix? I'll take two.

Posted by: Christopher at Jul 12, 2007 8:54:02 AM

It is the French government that should be accountable for its actions in many African countries. It is only because of the support of the French government that French companies and the governments of those African countries can continue plundering their natural resources. Then you can urge other European governments to do the same.

Posted by: Edgardo at Jul 12, 2007 9:40:03 AM

Hmm, I'd also couple this with a foreign aid threat, meaning that you either comply to this statute, or you will see no more foreign aid. I think this is also an interesting tool of "persuasion".

Posted by: Max at Jul 12, 2007 10:36:15 AM

I'd like to make sure the aid-giving countries are the ones hiring the auditors.

Posted by: Keith at Jul 12, 2007 11:21:37 AM

Thanks, Tyler. I'm highly skeptical but very intrigued.

Posted by: eriks at Jul 12, 2007 2:32:31 PM

To what degree do foreign remittances of citizens working abroad create the same problems that oil and/or natural resources do for poor countries.

Posted by: spencer at Jul 12, 2007 2:51:23 PM

Why not privatize the assets and follow the Alaskan model?

Posted by: 8 at Jul 12, 2007 3:51:16 PM

A good idea of course, but Zambia is the wrong example. We only get $9m from mineral royalties so getting PWC in would wipe half of that :)

Incidentally I read Collier's book. It has some good bits, some questionable things (e.g. a pointless rant at Easterly at the end), but his ideas generally warrants further investigation especially on security. We need to urgently consider that for Zimbabwe in a post Mugabe phase.

Posted by: Cho at Jul 12, 2007 4:45:02 PM

Don't we already have plenty of purely voluntary international charters and agreements and codes of conduct that haven't accomplished all that much? They involve a lot of suppositions. That political pressure really will be severe enough. That corporations will have to respond. That foreign countries really will be hurt by not complying. Remember, diamonds were a special case- most extractive industries aren't overwhelmingly dominated by one corporation.

And corporations that might sign on to a transparency charter face financial problems. When BP said it wanted to be transparent a few years ago and published what they paid in Angola, their state oil company accused them of breaking confidentiality agreements, and significantly strained BP's and Anogla's relationship. And all the other oil companies in the area were quick to note that they never pushed for transparency.

Maybe it could work, but I just think that we have enough voluntary charters. It might be time for something with a bit more teeth.

Posted by: acallidryas at Jul 13, 2007 12:04:51 PM

The elephant in the room is IQ. Africa -- unlike, say, East Asia -- is held back by low IQ. That's the upstream variable. Corruption and endless war are downstream effects.

See for example the math scores on page 34 of the TIMSS 2003. The 90th percentile Africans (e.g in Ghana) have scores below the 10th percentile East Asians (e.g. in Singapore)

http://timss.bc.edu/timss2003i/mathD.html
http://timss.bc.edu/PDF/t03_download/T03_M_Chap1.pdf

Live 8, and Jeff Sachs' ideas, and these fantasies of having PriceWaterHouse Coopers *audit* a Zambian mine...they all spring from an inability to wrestle with human reality. If you sent PWC auditors there, they would likely end up being shot by child soldiers of the local warlord.

Posted by: blah at Jul 13, 2007 10:38:30 PM

"Africa -- unlike, say, East Asia -- is held back by low IQ."

Aside from the offensive way in which you put your argument, I think you assessment is narrow because it focuses on a potential proximate cause rather than what we are trying to do in Africa which is trying to resolve root causes.

Posted by: Cho at Jul 14, 2007 6:29:47 AM

And by the way Mr Blah, you need to widen your knowledge a bit. Zambia has never experienced war and there are certainly no child soldiers there. How ignorant can you be?

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