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Go for the Gold!
Here from Business Week is a very cool story on a prize I had not heard of before.
A few years back, Toronto-based gold mining company Goldcorp (GG) was in trouble. Besieged by strikes, lingering debts, and an exceedingly high cost of production, the company had terminated mining operations....Chief Executive Officer Rob McEwen needed a miracle. Frustrated that his in-house geologists couldn't reliably estimate the value and location of the gold on his property, McEwen did something unheard of in his industry: He published his geological data on the Web for all to see and challenged the world to do the prospecting. The "Goldcorp Challenge" made a total of $575,000 in prize money available to participants who submitted the best methods and estimates...
Within weeks, submissions from around the world were flooding into Goldcorp headquarters. There were entries from graduate students, management consultants, mathematicians, military officers, and a virtual army of geologists....
The contestants identified 110 targets on the Red Lake property, more than 80% of which yielded substantial quantities of gold. In fact, since the challenge was initiated, an astounding 8 million ounces of gold have been found—worth well over $3 billion. Not a bad return on a half million dollar investment.
Posted by Alex Tabarrok on February 2, 2007 at 07:21 AM in Economics | Permalink
Comments
Wonder if I could do something similar in the stock market? If you give me sure fire winners I'll pay you a tiny percentage of the profits.
Posted by: Stuart at Feb 2, 2007 7:53:06 AM
Exploiting the problem-solving processing power of the masses. I love it.
Posted by: Caravaggio at Feb 2, 2007 8:18:20 AM
It's interesting what this example has in common with the Netflix example: A company has a large data set that it can safely share without significantly sacrificing its assets.
In the case of Goldcorp, of course, their assets are their mining rights over the land, which are presumably legally secured. The geological data isn't useful to someone without those rights. In the case of Netflix, it's a little more subtle, but their main asset is a combination of their "brand" and the identities of their customers. As long as their competitors can't use the data to poach their customers, Netflix can share it to attract prize seekers. They risk competitors using their data to formulate their own taste-matching algorithms, but the amount Netflix is likely to lose from this is pretty small.
However, I wonder how often a company has an important data set that it can share without giving up important trade secrets? I suspect that it's not all that common.
Posted by: Alex R at Feb 2, 2007 8:33:00 AM
Interesting story.
But, I wonder how much the more then doubling of the price of gold since 2000 played in improving their results and how much the new prospects contributed.
Posted by: spencer at Feb 2, 2007 9:08:43 AM
The more interesting aspect of the story is the open source angle. If there truly is benefit to opening proprietary data to a global audience, this would fly in the face of the advice thousands of lawyers have been giving companies for decades
Posted by: Dave at Feb 2, 2007 9:25:45 AM
I blogged about this at my blog. I'm interested in looking at when and where this might work, from the participants perspective, rather than the firm. I think Alex raises a good point about the lack of utility of geological data without mining rights to the land. However, I think there are a number of firms who do indeed have data that needs some form of analysis, and that analysis can be done in a way that protects the intellectual property of the firm.
Posted by: Josh Reich at Feb 2, 2007 10:20:39 AM
Talk about outsourcing.....
So, how many in-house geologists did he need????
Posted by: Sandy P at Feb 2, 2007 10:52:21 AM
The new book Mavericks at Work uses the Goldcorp concept as an example. I'd made a note to check it out at Borders so that I could read about Goldcorp (disclosure: I am a Goldcorp shareholder) and coincidentally just got around to it yesterday. Glad I did - very interesting story and the book offered more detailed coverage than the linked article above.
Key to the contest's success was that it attracted participants from a wide variety of fields outside of the mining industry. THe submission that ended up taking first prize was a detailed 3D model of the 55,000 acre site, according to McEwen "unlike anything he'd ever seen inside the mining industry." The exposure from the contest helped the winner move on to form his own publicly traded company doing 3D modelling.
Rob McEwen is no longer with Goldcorp, although he remains a major shareholder and has spoken out against the merger with Glamis gold.
Posted by: Franz at Feb 2, 2007 1:47:20 PM
This could also just mean that his geologists were incredibly incompetent to have missed all that gold under their nose.
Posted by: Paul at Feb 2, 2007 2:14:33 PM
This is clearly an open-source story. Why on earth would anyone be scared to release that data? Geologic data about land you own?
Posted by: BillWallace at Feb 2, 2007 2:50:36 PM
The rational for not releasing the data is that if it turned out the land was rich, they'd have competition for buying up the surrounding land. This did happen, in fact a GG competitor hired the contest's 2nd place winner a job and bought up adjacent land to build a mine.
Posted by: Franz at Feb 2, 2007 3:50:28 PM
I believe this story was also told in _The World is Flat_.
Posted by: Hal Miller at Feb 5, 2007 5:07:24 AM
A secondary rationale for not releasing the data is that releasing the data allows outsiders to make a more accurate assessment of the actual value of your company, which is not always in the company's best interests. Goldcorp handled this by releasing the information in a way which allowed them to realize the benefit of that more accurate information.
Posted by: Anthony at Feb 5, 2007 12:32:48 PM
how much of this could be total luck?
Posted by: choe at Feb 5, 2007 5:19:59 PM
Talking of gold,jewellery, may be if you want to buy some jewellery at best price, I have a suggestion to make do look up Online Shopping
Posted by: mirror at Feb 6, 2007 3:39:49 PM
This is very 'Cluetrain.' Is there something there about the creation of perfectly efficient markets at least for services? Potentially it's possible to see a widespread applicability.
I'm tempted to blog something on my Home Foreclosures blog. People with impending doom scenarios could possibly use this method to access all the solution expertise out there.
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