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Can foreign aid work?
Jeff Sachs gives a one-page argument for "yes."
I lean toward a more disaggregated approach, in which the success of aid is not just a matter of political will. The question is when and where aid will work. From another direction, this is an insightful paper:
Incumbent political leaders risk being deposed by challengers within existing political rules and by revolutionary threats. I examine how the survival incentives created by these dual threats shape the e¤ects of aid on government policy. I use Bueno de Mesquita et al's (2003) selectorate politics theory to examine the relationship between winning coalition size -- the number of supporters a leader requires to retain office -- and policy choice. In large winning coalition systems, the public goods focus of public policy means that foreign aid improves societal welfare and economic development. In contrast, in small coalition systems the private rewards focus of policy induces a loyalty norm towards incumbents which enables leaders to skim off aid resources for themselves and their cronies. Further since in small coalition systems aid generates few of the societal benefits that it would under large coalition institutions, aid increases the desire of citizens to rebel. Leaders can respond to such revolutionary threats by either buying off potential rebels by increasing the supply of public goods or retarding their ability to organize by suppressing public goods. Aid increases the relative attractiveness of the latter option because aid provides governments with "unearned" revenues that are relatively isolated from the economic decline induced by the suppression of public goods. The model also implies that aid can retard democratization.
I read that and I thought "today I learned something." Both pointers are from www.politicaltheory.info.
Addendum: Here is more Sachs, via Mankiw.
Posted by Tyler Cowen on November 27, 2006 at 06:45 AM in Economics | Permalink
Comments
It's been working for years, assuming that the goal of foreign aid is corporate welfare and ensconcing "our" dictators.
- Josh
Posted by: Wild Pegasus at Nov 27, 2006 7:58:08 AM
Here is a very interesting interview which, amongst other things, refers to foreign aid. I am sure you will enjoy it if you really can allow yourself over one hour of listening:
http://www.econtalk.org/archives/2006/08/the_political_e.html
Ernst
Posted by: Ernst at Nov 27, 2006 12:14:02 PM
If the most vital aid activities are really that cheap, why hasn't the Gates Foundation already done them, at least on large enough "regional" scales to demonstrate the feasibility of larger scale replication.
Posted by: michael vassar at Nov 27, 2006 7:16:13 PM
As former World Bank staff, I agree that the official aid system has generally operated like central planning. But I have also been involved in a number of projects that made a real difference, and I know many other people who have done great work in the World Bank, USAID, DFID, and elsewhere.
The key is to find the innovative people and approaches that are working and to get more resources to them.
Someone who fits this mold well is Scott Guggenheim, a World Bank anthropologist who led an extraordinary team of Indonesians and expats who devised the "KDP Program" in Indonesia. Just like the Development Marketplace (www.developmentmarketplace.org) and GlobalGiving (www.globalgiving.org), the KDP program basically turns the old model upside down by just asking villages what their priorities are, and then gets them the money to do it - directly, without going through ten layers of government bureaucracy.
Here is a link to a paper Scott wrote about this approach. If you read the first page, you will be hooked:
http://docs.google.com/View?docid=ddwgwbx8_0ff7qcm
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