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Should we abolish the IMF?
Here is Ken Rogoff on the IMF, via Asymmetrical Information.
Many critics argue that Bretton Woods has gone away and the world has no current financial crises. What is the IMF to do? Plus the IMF's management of crises can be counterproductive and create moral hazard.
The primary question is what kind of recurring but temporarily patched together multilateral crisis management arrangements would replace the IMF. The IMF would seem to be an especially good deal for the United States. Despite being the world's largest debtor nation, in the absence of an IMF, we would be looked upon as a global lender of last resort.
The presence of an IMF allows us to trade with other nations, and sometimes bully them around. But when their financial claims come we can calmly tell them to go take a place in line; furthermore other countries will help pick up the tab or help make "conditionality" look less imperialistic. Given that the US has a role as global policeman in any case, the IMF shifts the "terms of trade" of that role in our favor. Do note that many IMF critics would prefer to revise this entire arrangement, but simply abolishing the IMF, taken alone, would not bring large gains even under a libertarian view of the world.
A question: given that much of the funds are raised on private capital markets, how much does the IMF cost (in the crude sense of the gross subsidy) each year?
By the way, I'll go out on a limb and predict the next financial crisis will come in an Eastern European nation which wanted to join the Eurozone but couldn't quite make it. Once this failure is realized capital will flow out rapidly.
On the IMF, here is commentary from The Economist.
Addendum: Here is an IMF piece on Robert Mundell, via Greg Mankiw.
Posted by Tyler Cowen on September 26, 2006 at 07:23 AM in Economics | Permalink
Comments
The World Bank is a major issuer in the capital markets, but I've never seen an IMF bond.
Posted by: Felix at Sep 26, 2006 9:56:29 AM
Toss it overboard, let them get jobs in the real world.
Posted by: Sandy P at Sep 26, 2006 10:47:14 AM
Retain the IMF, but move it into the Pentagon. The IMF is an important
weapon in our national defense. If we are unhappy with a foreign country,
we can send in the military. If we are really unhappy, we can send in the
IMF.
Posted by: J. Hamilton MacFarland III at Sep 26, 2006 11:04:41 AM
IMF delenda est.
- Josh
Posted by: Wild Pegasus at Sep 26, 2006 12:18:41 PM
Well, the big joke is that the next really
big foreign exchange crisis might involve
the US (see brad setser on the deteriorating
US investment income balance, not to mention
the exploding mountain of credit derivatives
spooking NY Fed Pres Geithner). Not clear
the IMF will be able to do much about that
one, if it happens...
Posted by: Barkley Rosser at Sep 26, 2006 12:39:56 PM
I think that the IMF is a good thing sometimes, but I believe it
probably does have its downsides. IMF should continue and not be done
away with simply because its seems to have been a good thing because it
does help countries out during crisis's. I just wonder if the IMF was
involved in New Orleans during the Hurricane Katrina crisis. However,
I think that if the IMF was terminated then there would be a lot of
dependence on the US. The only bad thing I see about the IMF is with
the Asia deal where they keep stockpiling money. Maybe the IMF needs to
set certain standards on how they lease out their money such as if the
country is not in terrible shape, then don't keep assisting with them
until their debt is payed back.
Posted by: William I. at Sep 26, 2006 3:43:32 PM
The IMF should be reformed to be putting actual money down in insurance style investments of currencies over at least a year or longer.
I, too, am interested in how much it actually costs. I think the benefits to the US and the world have been bigger than the costs; although at a significant moral hazard cost.
If a reformed currency stabilization insurance type market alternative was formed first, then yes, dump IMF. 'IMF crowds out the better alternative' -- if it's really better, it should be better in a small scale even with the IMF.
I don't think buying currencies based on the Big Mac PPP differences has been especially profitable -- though I could well be wrong about this.
Posted by: Tom Grey - Liberty Dad at Sep 26, 2006 8:56:22 PM
I'm sorry, but I find this post ridiculous. As an Australian, this comment to me wreaks of American self-centeredness. Sure, you may have the finances to replace the IMF, but
a) wouldn't that be a similar situation to how in Bretton Woods every currency was linked to US dollar, putting immense pressure on the economy?
b) so-called imperialism doesn't just have to come from one country, note that when islamic fundamentalists speak about their opponents, they refer to "the west". Just like how during the Cold War there were the Capitalist countries.
c) The IMF's policies are continually in dispute as it is now. To cement the US's influence on such policy, which in general creates a lack of transparency for overall bailout policy, is not realistic whatsoever.
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