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Are neighborhood effects really family effects?

Neighborhoods and Academic Achievement: Results from the Moving to Opportunity Experiment

Families originally living in public housing were assigned housing vouchers by lottery, encouraging moves to neighborhoods with lower poverty rates. Although we had hypothesized that reading and math test scores would be higher among children in families offered vouchers (with larger effects among younger children), the results show no significant effects on test scores for any age group among over 5000 children ages 6 to 20 in 2002 who were assessed four to seven years after randomization. Program impacts on school environments were considerably smaller than impacts on neighborhoods, suggesting that achievement-related benefits from improved neighborhood environments are alone small.

Here is the paper, and thanks to Sven Wilson for the pointer.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on January 14, 2006 at 06:47 AM in Education | Permalink

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Comments

Maybe neighborhood effects have already "set" by age 6? I haven't read the paper so I can't say if that's a feasible alternative...

Posted by: Nathan at Jan 14, 2006 9:54:16 AM

Can you apply the results of this study -- I did not read it either --
to the arguments about school vouchers? The analogy is fairly full it seems,
you use vouchers to shift poor people from a very poor school to a better one
and the results showed no improvement. Of course I have no idea of how the schools they went to compared, but I seriously doubt there was much difference. But it first glance the study does contradict the claims that school vouchers could solve the problem of poor schools for the low income population segments.

Posted by: spencer at Jan 14, 2006 10:11:19 AM

The title is spot on- Its "family" not "neighborhood" - or more fundamentally, nature over nuture. I submit that the conventional wisdom about education is entirely and completely wrong.
Sending a 90IQ student to Harvard will NOT make them smarter or more successful. Likewise, ON AVERAGE, sending poor children to better schools will have little or no effect on their performance.
Aside from some small percentage of poor who only need a legitimate boost to get themselves going, poor people are poor, GENERALLY SPEAKING, because they are not as smart, ON AVERAGE, as more wealthy people.
That is a harsh truth that far too many people refuse to see, to all our detriment.

Posted by: AL at Jan 14, 2006 1:39:46 PM

Spencer, I think it would depend on your hypothesis on how school vouchers are supposed to improve education. If you argued that they improve education by allowing parents to choose their childrens' peers, then this would refute that. If you argued that school quality was unidimensional and vouchers allowed parents to choose better schools, then this may refute that.

However, if a large part of educational quality is a matching model of hetereogeneous schools to heterogeneous kids, i.e. if different schools are better for different kids, and if vouchers allow better matching between schools and kids, then this study wouldn't speak to that.

In addition, if vouchers make public schools better by introducing competition, this study wouldn't speak to that, either.

Posted by: Keith at Jan 14, 2006 2:16:11 PM

In one way, this study actually supports vouchers, by countering an important anti-voucher hypothesis.

One anti-voucher hyppothesis is that vouchers would incude "cream-skimming," where good students would leave public schools, and the bad students in public schools would suffer for lack of quality peers. This study indicates that npeer effects in education may be very small, which indicates that the cream-skimming argument against vouchers may not have much force.

Posted by: Keith at Jan 14, 2006 2:19:55 PM

I remember my grad school professor and education researcher Joseph Altonji saying "it's like kids have little silos around them", meaning, he couldn't find any effects from expenditure/capita, teachers/capita, neighborhoods, etc., independent of the family's SES.

Posted by: eric at Jan 14, 2006 8:04:15 PM

you've eliminated any willingness to pay and therefor distributed the benefits of education (via random lottery) to those who do not value them.

Posted by: pk at Jan 15, 2006 9:36:20 AM

Spencer's speculation is in error, as he would realize if he had read the paper. This paper is a refinement of the Interim Evaluation of Moving to Opportunity, which is available for free at http://www.huduser.org/publications/fairhsg/mtoFinal.html

The MTO experiment significantly improved the neighborhoods of the treatment group but did not significantly improve their schools, for reasons explained in the report. Thus, the evidence can only be applied to the effects of neigborhood on cognitive skills, not schools.

Posted by: Mark Shroder at Jan 15, 2006 12:44:29 PM

Dubner and Levitt published a similar result in _Freakonomics_,
where out of all poor Chicago elementary school students who entered
a lottery for a chance to attend public school in a better
neighborhood, students who "won" the lottery did not perform any
better than students who lost and had to remain in their bad
neighborhood schools. However, the students who entered the lottery
(whether they won or not) outperformed the students who did not
enter the lottery.

Posted by: mobile at Jan 17, 2006 9:04:49 AM

I guess that it's not the matter of neighbourhood but the family most of all. And of course school itself.

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