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The Republican War on Science

Chris Mooney's new tract is one of the most important books of this year.  Here is a CrookedTimber review.  If you can't figure out the book's contents from the title, here is Chris's blog

My take: I agree with most of the arguments but would have called it The Political War on Science.  Democrat politicians are excessively enamored of government regulation, for instance, and many of them do not pay enough attention to incentives.  (Admittedly these issues are not as clear cut as the theory of evolution; Mooney in fact suggests a scientific approach will lead to more regulation.)  The left often treats human beings as excessively malleable.  Both Carter and Clinton committed some gross errors out of self-deception; they violated the simple principle of dominance rather than any complicated scientific hypothesis.  (What exactly should count as an error of science?)  In fairness to Mooney he does point out many Democrat or left-wing transgressions although not all of these.

Has the increase in Republican hostility to science sprung from an especially bad and craven administration on this issue?  Or has there also been a more fundamental shift in the political equilibrium, due to the greater mobilization of interest groups?  Perhaps voters will be judging science on a more frequent basis from now on, and asking their politicians to take the side of untruth.  Advances in biology will spur this tendency.  Why do Democrat errors more frequently get framed as failures of will or morality, rather than ignorance, vice versa for current Republican errors?  How much of the difference is real and how much is framing?  For how long will media take the side of the Democrats on scientific issues?  Here is today's New York Times piece on related issues.

Elsewhere on the book front, John Coetzee's Slow Man is due out September 22, pre-order it hereThe FT reviewer was not crazy about it but I hold greater trust in the author.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on September 4, 2005 at 08:25 AM in Books, Political Science | Permalink

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Comments

No, it's the Republican war on science. The fact that the HHS doesn' t know things like the below is part of why we call it a Republican war against Science. Both parties are grossly irrational, and both deny what is well known about human nature, but for most people, beliefs about human nature count as political beliefs, not as scientific ones. Social science, even economics is not generally considered "science" in common parlance, and while this is substantially due to ignorance of the amount of consensus within economics, it is also because socila sciences genuinely do not make the kinds of precise predictions that natural sciences make.
Both parties uphold PC delusions. Both parties act irrationally, but only one party actually attacks the beliefs that fit everyone's definition of science.
It's also worth mentioning that while the Republicans may verbally advocate "free market principles", to them, such "principles" are merely a justification for uneven wealth distribution and pork, not scientific beliefs.

Posted by: michael e vassar at Sep 4, 2005 10:48:17 AM

Most of the arguments about "hostility toward science" are in reality arguments about rationalism versus a broader view of the universe.

Rationalists take the view that if it can't be measured, it doesn't count; that if it can't be rationally articulated, it doesn't count; that if it can't be reduced to a materialistic or naturalistic explanation, it doesn't count.

Others take a different view. Naturally if you are a rationalist, you will perceive this different view as an "attack", and you will try to frame it as an "attack on science"--"science" being one of the idols of our modern age.

However, the simple truth is, there are plenty of things that are not "scientifically" measurable or articulable. Nor is doing so morally neutral, as the proponents of scientism would like us to believe.

To use "science" as the measure of all things is to take a view of the universe that is reductionist, and utilitarian to the point of being instrumental: indeed, many such arguments are made in this very forum (I was shocked by the refutation of the Grand Inquisitor's question, just a few weeks ago).

Many people in this world do not believe that this is the only--or even the preferred--approach. If it is our fate to be denounced as "attackers of science" in consequence, I find that a small price to pay.

Posted by: David Hecht at Sep 4, 2005 11:44:01 AM

Anyone who thinks that "science" is always accurate, value-free, and neutral need only look at how the imprimature of science has been used to claim that George Bush caused the flooding of New Orleans by his failure to push for the ratification of the Kyoto treaty.

And everyone should re-read Alex Tabarrok's recent posting on why most scientific findings are false ( http://www.marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2005/09/why_most_publis.html ) Especially findings which justify someone's political hobby horse.

As for the question of whether blind, random forces of genetic mutation and natural selection are entirely responsible for the all too obvious fact of evolution, there are certainly many serious questions about that.

Posted by: Matthew Cromer at Sep 4, 2005 12:12:42 PM

"As for the question of whether blind, random forces of genetic mutation and natural selection are entirely responsible for the all too obvious fact of evolution, there are certainly many serious questions about that."

Natural selection is not random. Obviously random processes cannot, alone, cause evolution: natural selection starts with random variation and *then* uses that to push populations *directionally* toward phenotypes that reproduce more efficiently.

Posted by: Andrew at Sep 4, 2005 1:59:54 PM

--
Rationalists take the view that if it can't be measured, it doesn't count; that if it can't be rationally articulated, it doesn't count; that if it can't be reduced to a materialistic or naturalistic explanation, it doesn't count.
--
This is a very common misconception about (critical) rationalism in general, although I admit there may be people out there with such an attitude. However, this attitude is logically untenable, because the statement in italics cannot be measured or explained rationally or materialistically. Scientists do not accept hypotheses of the form "because it just is that way" for the simple reason that no useful conclusions may be drawn from such an "explanation". A critical rationalist will always respect the beliefs of people who, in their turn, respect the beliefs of others; those who fear others' beliefs often construe them as attacks even if no attack has taken place.

This, of course, is not to say that there is nothing to fear from any belief. Indeed, "rational fundamentalism" is probably even worse than any other. All people make mistakes; rationalism cannot be rationally justified. Moral dimension does exist independently of the rational dimension, but rational discussion of moral precepts is possible and even desirable, even if the results are mixed.

Regarding "blind, random forces": put a burning cigarette on the edge of a table and look at the beautiful swirls of smoke. These delicate tendrils are produced by blind, random forces of molecular interaction -- essentially the same as collisions between solid balls.

Posted by: mazur at Sep 4, 2005 2:27:36 PM

Mazur,

Assuming t=0 and the big bang theory is correct. A single point of spacetime - energy exists and is about to explode into the big bang (yes, I know this isn't strictly true because time doesn't exist at t=0 blah blah, but bear with me).

Given the system at t=0, would you predict earth circa 2005?

There does seem to be a definite teleology taking place in this strange universe we live in. Systems evolve to greater complexity, greater differentiation, greater sophistication. And in the human world of thought and consciousness, that evolution continues faster and faster again. Wikipedia, anyone?

Ascribing this entire system of progressive differentiation and higher levels of form and knowledge and consciousness as the product simply of chance and blind reproductive selection is certainly an interesting philosophy, but it doesn't make any testable predictions about the kinds of large, discontinuous leaps in form and consciousness that are so very evident. I think it's pretty damn obvious that this universe and the life and human civilization it has produced are "going somewhere". So I find the notion of many naturalistic rationalists that the universe is a meaningless accident pretty amazing in the face of that oh-so-clear vector of natural, biological and human history.

Of course, some will then postulate that the anthropic principle simply means there are trillions of "failed" universes that did not produce consciousness. Another untestable theory with no predictions. Nothing wrong with that, but let's distinguish science from philosophy / religion, shall we? Wrapping up the nihilistic world view of many atheistic scientists and calling it "science" that should be taught as such to children in schools and then complaining when the religious right wants to play the same game -- that's just not going to cut it.

Personally, I am a libertarian and not in favor of government-run schools in the first place. If rationalist atheists want to take their "random ooze accident" theory of evolution and teach it to their kids, then that's great. When some of their kids grow up and figure out there is more to life than that, and get mad at their parents, great. If fundamentalist Christians want to teach their kids about Archbishop Ussher's calculation of the creation of the earth in 4004 BC then that's fine. When some of their kids grow up and join SCICOP and find out their parents were teaching mythology, that's cool too.

Posted by: Matthew Cromer at Sep 4, 2005 4:00:28 PM

"Why do Democrat errors more frequently get framed as failures of will or morality, rather than ignorance, vice versa for current Republican errors?"

It's even more than that i think. Republican errors are mostly not considered errors, but crimes. When it are just errors, they only can be malign. Left-wing people are considered and consider themselves to occupy the moral high ground. If if they fail they are just that... failures, never criminals. Ché Guevara and Fidel Castro make mistakes (dixit Noam Chomksy), it's only Bush and Pinochet who are the criminals (they are of course, but so is Fidel).

Posted by: ivan at Sep 4, 2005 5:00:53 PM

Just for another datum point, just look at flap over Larry Summers. The left has an absolutely atrocious record at recognizing the reality of human biodiversity in all its forms.

Yes, I think someone could write a great book on the struggle of politics, religion, and philosophy against scientific inquiry. And scientists of every era would be slotted in "bad-guy" as well as heroic roles.

Posted by: Matthew Cromer at Sep 4, 2005 6:13:37 PM

Assuming t=0 and big bang is *not* correct. It's as much a mythology as Archbishop Ussher's calculations, only more sophisticated. The big bang theories are jury-rigged anew every time it is contradicted by observational data, just as Ptolemy's solar system. There are some alternatives (look them up in Wikipedia), but they are ignored by most cosmologists. These alternatives don't have a significant following; it's both a cause and an effect of their being ignored.

The requirement to "predict from t=0 to 2005" is another misunderstanding. It cannot be done in the sense of the Laplace demon; instability sets in at once and the system's state depends on more and more subtle details of the initial state. Very soon it becomes impossible to predict anything. That's what the butterfly effect is about, and it manifests itself even in very simple systems, e.g. 2 pendulums connected with a spring.

Regarding evolution and a' that, read Prigogine. He explains these things very nicely, much better than I can. "Random ooze accident" is so crude and obsolete an idea that it's not even worth discussing; unfortunately most people believe that it's the very edge of scientific thought, when in reality it's only a straw man.

Posted by: mazur at Sep 5, 2005 1:06:33 AM

Back in 1999, I wrote two essays for the Millennium on Darwin's modern enemies:

Darwin's Enemies on the Right - http://www.isteve.com/Darwin-EnemiesonRight.htm

Darwin's Enemies on the Left -
http://www.isteve.com/Darwin-EnemiesonLeft.htm

I think they've held up well.

Posted by: Steve Sailer at Sep 5, 2005 1:51:51 AM

There is an anecdote about a young soldier seeing an Oxford Don during World War I. The soldier says to the Don: "What are you doing to save civilization from the Hun?"
The Don thinks for a moment and replies: "I am civilization."

What we have here is not a war on science. Science is a method. It is a war between the Blue State Elite (BSE) and the Red State Rebellion. The BSE includes the faculties of the major research universities.

The Administration is an outgrowth of the RSR. The RSR fears and loathes the BSE, largely because they perceive that the BSE has condescended to them for years.

The BSE understands the fear and loathing and replies with more condescension and fear. Issues like evolutionary theory become emotional touchstones for both sides. Screed and counter-screed are written. This is another. Its not important. Its no more important than last years outpouring (like the trifle about assassinating the president) of screeds was.

Wake me up when somebody has something important or interesting to say.

Posted by: Robert Schwartz at Sep 5, 2005 2:33:34 AM

Mazur,

I'm familiar with some of the non-big-bang theories such as the plasma universe. Interesting stuff to be sure. That is why I put in the caveat about assuming the big bang is true.

I'm familiar with chaos theory. I'm not talking about specific results -- only general ones. Does the universe have a tendency to produce increasing complexity and increasing consciousness, or not? My answer is yes, clearly, obviously.

I've also read Ilya Prigogene's theories. Interesting stuff, and plausible. But the exact theories are irrelevant. "Random Ooze accident" was intended to be provocative -- but yes it is fundamentally descriptive of a certain world view. Is it an accident that the universe has produced complex life and people capable of studying it, or not? Is the universe "going somewhere" or not? Yes, or no?

Posted by: Matthew Cromer at Sep 5, 2005 8:27:22 AM

In my view, and a lot of other scientists' view, it's not an accident in the sense of the general direction, and arguably not even in large-scale details. But this view does not preclude naturalistic explanation. I wonder what is the "random ooze" worldview and who's actually holding it.

Posted by: mazur at Sep 5, 2005 12:30:10 PM

Well, for whatever reason, the USA is the only high income country in the world where a majority of the population, and a solid majority at that, does not accept the "obvious fact of evolution." It is not all that surprising that one party or the other would take advantage of this and play to it. In the days of William Jennings Bryan and his "Speech of Gold" it was the Democrats. Today it is the Republicans.

The real question is how we got to be so out of touch with what the rest of the world sees pretty readily. Given current trends we are likely to head further out of synch. I can hardly wait to see how this will help us in the coming competition for global technological leadership. Having somewhat freer markets only goes so far in covering for blatant ignorance.

Posted by: Barkley Rosser at Sep 5, 2005 3:11:23 PM

I am forced to agree with those who point out that science is not the only way to look at the universe. Why restrict ourselves to rationalism and knowledge when ignorance and superstition are equally valid?

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连云港货架
镇江货架
常州货架
徐州货架
无锡货架
苏州货架
苏州货架
南京货架
货架
货架公司
货架厂
重型货架
阁楼货架
阁楼货架
悬臂货架
悬臂货架
悬臂货架
贯通货架
贯通货架
贯通货架
托盘
托盘
托盘
钢托盘
钢托盘
仓储笼
仓储笼
仓储笼
钢托盘
塑料托盘
塑料托盘
塑料托盘
手推车
手推车
手推车
北京货运
货运公司
货运代理
上海货运
国际陆路运输
陆路运输合同
陆路运输ppt
上海陆路运输
中国物流公司
成都物流公司
南京物流公司
宁波物流公司
杭州物流公司
广州物流公司
深圳物流公司
北京物流公司
上海物流公司
西安至南京货运公司
广州货运公司
货运
南京货运市场
南京货运代理有限公司
南京货运信息
南京货运出租
南京货运配载
南京货运网
南京货运价格
南京货运代理
南京货运代理公司
南京货运公司
货运公司
南京运输公司
南京货运
南京货运配载
西安货运配载
湖南货运配载
南京市货运配载
共商货运配载
货架
折叠式料箱|折叠式料箱制造
整理架|整理架制造
静音手推车|手推车系列
工业货架|工业货架厂
仓库货架|仓库货架厂
部队货架|部队货架厂
济南货架|济南货架厂
巢湖货架|巢湖货架厂
芜湖货架|芜湖货架厂
大连货架|大连货架厂
货架公司
郑州货架|郑州货架厂
天津货架|天津货架厂
重庆货架|重庆货架厂
成都货架|成都货架厂
四川货架|四川货架厂
云南货架|云南货架厂
湖北货架|湖北货架厂
湖南货架|湖南货架厂
新疆货架|新疆货架厂
昆明货架|昆明货架厂
南京货架
合肥货架|合肥货架厂
安徽货架|安徽货架厂
江西货架|江西货架厂
惠州货架|惠州货架厂
江门货架|江门货架厂
东莞货架|东莞货架厂
佛山货架|佛山货架厂
中山货架|中山货架厂
深圳货架|深圳货架厂
广东货架|广东货架厂
货架厂
广州货架|广州货架厂
江苏货架|江苏货架厂
辽宁货架|辽宁货架厂
沈阳货架|沈阳货架厂
山东货架|山东货架厂
张家港货架|张家港货架

Posted by: sent at Jul 17, 2007 4:41:08 AM

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