« Markets in Everything | Main | Social Morass »

Global Warming and the US Economy

Laurie David, comedy developer turned environmental activist, writes in the Huffington Post:

Last week at the G8, President Bush restated his favorite global warming canard: that mandatory curbs on fossil fuel pollution will “cripple the U.S. economy.”

WELL, WHAT DOES HE THINK GLOBAL WARMING WILL DO TO THE ECONOMY!?!?

 
I wish there was an even bolder bold on this computer to emphasize how insane this logic is. Non-stop flooding, killer heat waves, energy and food shortages: what will these do to the economy?

Actually Laurie, and PGL of Angry Bear who links to David, the best study of the issue indicates that global warming is most likely a net benefit to the US economy.  Carbon dioxide and greater temperature makes plants grow faster.  The author, Yale economist Robert Mendelsohn writes:

Climate change is likely to result in small net benefits for the United States over the next century. The primary sector that will benefit is agriculture. The large gains in this sector will more than compensate for damages expected in the coastal, energy, and water sectors, unless warming is unexpectedly severe. Forestry is also expected to enjoy small gains. Added together, the United States will likely enjoy small benefits of between $14 and $23 billion a year and will only suffer damages in the neighborhood of
$13 billion if warming reaches 5C over the next century. Recent predictions of warming by 2100 suggest temperature increases of between 1.5 and 4C, suggesting that impacts are likely to be beneficial in the US.

Speaking personally, I have undergone a greater shift in mean temperature by moving from Canada to the US than will occur in 100 years of global warming and I like it!  My fellow Canadians, still stuck in the frozen north, will be glad to know that in the future they too can have warmer temperatures without giving up their prized health care system.

For the developing world the effects of climate change are most likely negative but not so negative that further development - combined with some modest changes in first-world technology, such as greater use of nuclear power - is not the best solution.

Posted by Alex Tabarrok on July 12, 2005 at 07:12 AM in Science | Permalink

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00d8341c66b253ef00e5509794e58834

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Global Warming and the US Economy:

» Spending Trillions one a Billion dollar problem is not Science from Truck and Barter
Marginal Revolution writes about Yale Economist R. Mendelsohn, estimating the effect of global warming on the US economy. Not surprising, the effect is expected to be a net benefit. I have never understood why people think a few degrees warming is inhe... [Read More]

Tracked on Jul 12, 2005 8:13:02 PM

» Quick Shots: That's One Unpleasant Wife You've Got from Decision '08
Thank God someone took on insufferable environmentalist Laurie David...when someone talks about a limousine liberal, this is what they mean... [Read More]

Tracked on Jul 12, 2005 8:19:24 PM

» The Other Side of Environmental Issues from The Reconstruction
Over at Marginal Revolution, they're pointing out that the net effect of global warming to the U.S. economy will likely be positive. This is, of course, based on a study that assumes that the warming... [Read More]

Tracked on Jul 14, 2005 2:03:09 AM

» Blogorrhea from Monkeys and Typewriters
The Speculist points to an interesting idea on combating global warming...though global warming may turn out to be good for the economy. [Read More]

Tracked on Jul 15, 2005 12:25:29 AM