« Should you vote? | Main | Poll Positions III »
Poll Positions II
More election day fun:
1. In exchange for some extra credit on their upcoming exam, I asked students in my two classes to guess what the popular vote breakdown will be today. As a good rational choicer, I only give the points for accurate predictions. I averaged their predictions: 49.7% Bush, 48.7% for Kerry and Nader gets 1.9%. Let's see how the Indiana Extra Credit Market pans out tomorrow...
2. Dave from Colorado (see item #7 in yesterday's post) got someone to write in Vernon Smith in Washington DC. Good going, Dave!! Anybody want to write in either Tyler or Alex?
Posted by Fabio Rojas on November 2, 2004 at 03:03 PM | Permalink
TrackBack
TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/t/trackback/3576/1357884
Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Poll Positions II:
» Tooting My Own Horn from voluntaryXchange
I predicted Bush would win almost a year ago. I am not the only one to do this, or the only one to use economic data to make this prediction. But, my method was simple enough to do as an [Read More]
Tracked on Nov 3, 2004 12:55:26 PM
» Tradesports Accuracy from voluntaryXchange
Tradesports state by state prices on Monday afternoon made a perfect call of the electoral vote total. That was the data set I used to give Bush a 57% probability of winning in an earlier post. And, according to those [Read More]
Tracked on Nov 3, 2004 12:55:48 PM
