« Artworks ruined by overexposure | Main | Minimum Wage Effects in the Longer Run »

Why isn't cryonics more popular?

In discussing prizes, Alex wonders why cryonics isn't more popular?

Who better to ask than Robin Hanson? Read his very short paper on the topic.

Individuals may pay for medicine mostly to convince groups of their loyalty, and groups may pay to convince individuals similarly. This can explain many puzzles, including the low health value of medicine, and the lack of interest in private info about quality of medicine. Together with a few simple auxiliary assumptions, it can also explain many other health puzzles.

This theory also suggests why people might be particularly uninterested in cryonics. At present cryonics is something individuals buy for themselves, which if it works will transport them to an alien social world where they can do little to aid their current social allies. That alien world seems unattractive and downright scary to most current allies, and spending all that money on going there reduces one's ability to aid current allies. Buying cryonics can then naturally be interpreted as symbolizing betrayal and abandonment. And with medicine mostly being a symbolic purchase, people aren't in the habit of looking any deeper than that.

This suggests that cryonics is mainly going to be popular among people who think of the distant future not as a scary alien place, but as their home and social world, and especially among tight-knit groups of people who expect to move there together. It suggests that perceptions of social fragmentation (such as when many split off from Alcor) are especially damaging, and that evidence of the effectiveness of cryonics technology is only marginally important.

Have you noticed that women in particular are hostile to the idea of their men surviving them and coming back for another life?

Alas, I am a cryonics pessimist and I have yet to sign up for the extant services. (It is an interesting exercise to sit down and calculate how much resurrection would be worth to you, your implicit probability expectation, and your value for the modest yearly fee; many people have to fudge the numbers to justify their absolute dismissal of the idea.) But I also am pretty sure that most people, including prospective donors, reject the idea for the wrong reasons.

Posted by Tyler Cowen on September 13, 2004 at 07:19 AM in Medicine | Permalink

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00d8341c66b253ef00e5508346738833

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Why isn't cryonics more popular?:

» Marginal Revolution on Cryonics from Fight Aging!
The folks over at Marginal Revolution are discussing cryonics, a topic on which I have my own comments to make: Death is not a topic that people like to think about, and that is just as true of healthy life extension advocates as anyone else. We have t... [Read More]

Tracked on Sep 13, 2004 5:53:57 PM

» Marginal Revolution on Cryonics from Fight Aging!
The folks over at Marginal Revolution are discussing cryonics, a topic on which I have my own comments to make: Death is not a topic that people like to think about, and that is just as true of healthy life extension advocates as anyone else. We have t... [Read More]

Tracked on Sep 13, 2004 6:43:57 PM

» McClatchy Co. To Buy Knight Ridder from $4.5 billion.
McClatchy Company becomes the nation's second largest newspaper business by buying Knight Ridder for about $4.5 billion. Knight [Read More]

Tracked on Mar 16, 2006 9:37:19 AM

» N.Y. counties turn to Salient to boost efficiency from he said. Chemung
management of county governments’ programs and business processes. The Salient software is an example of technology that counties can use to be [Read More]

Tracked on Mar 17, 2006 4:47:59 AM

» Grass Fed Beef Are Not Mad Cows from from cattle that
is produced from cattle that eat only grass and hay throughout their lives, [Read More]

Tracked on Mar 17, 2006 4:55:12 PM

» Shoes - Free Shipping & Return Shipping - Mens Shoes, Womens Shoes from Search Shoes
Shop for the latest styles of shoes, sandals, boots, clogs, slippers and accessories. ... Advanced Search · Search By Brand · Search By Size · Wide Shoes ... [Read More]

Tracked on Mar 20, 2006 12:41:36 AM

» ID Theft Can Haunt Victims for Years to Come from any Are Unable
any Are Unable to Recover Identity or Finances, Survey Says [Read More]

Tracked on Mar 24, 2006 1:25:28 PM

» W3 Search Engines XML from People/Web Search
... meta-search engine, includes a submission page, searching for people and ... Alex - Alex Catalogue of Electronic texts (previously Gopher Catalog of ... [Read More]

Tracked on Mar 25, 2006 4:23:26 PM

» John Waggoner:Investing - Savvy strategies for tax refunds (USATODAY.com) from refund is like
average tax refund is $2,379 this year, and about three out of four individual [Read More]

Tracked on Mar 27, 2006 2:59:21 PM

» Music Site Search from MP3 Downloads
Folk Music Site Search. Songs after 1922 are protected by copyright. Many songs that sound traditional are actually modern folk songs. ... [Read More]

Tracked on Apr 1, 2006 12:39:12 PM

» mp3 and music related news and tools from mp3 downloads, mp3 download, mp3 songs
Mp3 downloads, mp3 download, mp3 songs, download muziek downloaden, mp3s, mp3 music, mp3 files, mp3 search, download music... [Read More]

Tracked on Apr 1, 2006 6:33:19 PM

» Brand Search from Broderbund Customer Support - Brands Search
Search the Tyco Electronics Catalog - Search by Product Type, Brand, Part Number and many other options [Read More]

Tracked on Apr 4, 2006 11:03:54 PM

» Top 10 Windows XP Tips Of All Time (TechWeb) from TechWeb proudly
be using Windows XP for some time to come. TechWeb proudly presents our all-time favorite Win XP hacks, tips, tricks, and fixes. [Read More]

Tracked on Apr 26, 2006 3:36:24 PM

» Dubai Gains Control Of Defense Plants After Bush Approves Takeover Deal from publishing and
www.allheadlinenews.com/content-services or call 1-800-673-0179. If you are outside of the United States, please contact All Headline [Read More]

Tracked on Apr 30, 2006 11:26:11 PM

» Jewelry Shop from Jewelry making, Tips from The Jeweler's bench - Jewelry making
The Gem and Jewelry World's foremost Resource on The Internet. ... The Jeweler's Selected Bibliography. Add Ganoksin Power Search to your website ... [Read More]

Tracked on May 25, 2006 5:17:38 PM

» Italian Charms from ItalianCharms -- Search results
Italian charms has stainless links from companies by Zoppini, Boxing, ReFlorence, Puzzle, Ryry, Talexia & Unodomani... [Read More]

Tracked on May 27, 2006 10:44:04 PM