« Randomness in Venezuela | Main | Candidate Public Good »
Google makes money managers work for a living
In the weeks leading up to Google's IPO, few people had anything good to say about the company or its decision to go public using a modified Dutch auction. (Here's one notable exception.) But now we're seeing a welcome backlash to the anti-Google backlash, with a host of articles arguing that, glitches notwithstanding, the IPO worked. (My take is here, but unfortunately you need to subscribe to the Financial Times to read it.)
Most discussions of the IPO have focused, appropriately, on the fact that Google maximized the amount of money it raised by reducing the commissions it paid its investment bankers and by getting itself a fairer price than it would have under the traditional system. (Even though Google's price did jump 18% on the first day, that was a relatively reasonable discount given all the fear and uncertainty Wall Street had tried to sow about the company and the offering.) As Alex wrote last week, the true test of the success of an IPO is the "cost per dollar of raised funds," and by that standard Google did well.
But the offering was also a success for another reason, which is that it forced institutional investors to compete, for once, on a level playing field. The problem with the current IPO system isn't just that companies end up leaving billions of dollars on the table when they go public, but that select mutual-fund and hedge-fund managers (as well as well-connected individuals) are handed what amounts to free money. In a traditional IPO, the investment bank underwriting the offering controls the allocation of shares. In the late 1990s in particular, that allocation process became a way of doling out favors and securing future business. For instance, if you were a mutual-fund manager who funneled a lot of trades through an investment bank -- or who agreed to do so -- then you were more likely to get a hefty allocation of IPO shares.
This made money managers look a lot smarter than they were -- even if you set the bubble aside, there are lots of fund managers whose returns from the late nineties need an asterisk next to them -- and it wrecked the price-setting process, since there was no real attempt to let the price reflect the real demand for a stock. It also sabotaged one of the best things about capital markets, which is that in theory they aggregate the opinions of anyone with enough capital and enough risk tolerance to participate, and not just the opinions of those with the right connections. (There should be no velvet ropes in capital markets: if you can pay, you can play.) Google turned all this around: the only way to get shares in the Dutch auction was to do the valuation work and make a reasonable bid. The traditional IPO relies on the power of cronyism. Google's IPO, flawed as it was, relied on the power of markets. Bad for the Street, good for everyone else.
Posted by James Surowiecki on August 23, 2004 at 08:45 AM | Permalink
TrackBack
TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/t/trackback/3576/1046540
Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Google makes money managers work for a living:
» Quick Links from The Proximal Tubule
To the Wall Street establishment and to stupid reporters, there was always something that "broke the rules." Which, to me, is prima facie evidence that the whole thing was positive. [Read More]
Tracked on Aug 23, 2004 5:55:40 PM
» I Heart Surowiecki from Asymmetrical Information
James Surowiecki, guest-blogging at Marginal Revolution, on the Google IPO and the IPO price setting process, which for the past... [Read More]
Tracked on Aug 24, 2004 12:55:37 PM
» google IPO: fairer, better from pr9000.net ... ten pounds of hip in a five-pound blog.
But the offering was also a success for another reason, which is that it forced institutional investors to compete, for once, on a level playing field. The problem with the current IPO system isn't just that companies end up leaving... [Read More]
Tracked on Aug 24, 2004 5:33:24 PM
» Was Google a success? from Ideoblog
Here's two contrasting takes -- by James Surowiecki on Marginal Revolution and Holman Jenkins in today's WSJ. These writers basically disagree about whether Google's Dutch auction really did maximize the company's take by changing the IPO rules -- that... [Read More]
Tracked on Aug 25, 2004 8:52:02 AM
» Contrasting views on the Google IPO from Houston's Clear Thinkers
I have been meaning to comment on the contrasting views that James Surowiecki of Marginal Revolution and Holman Jenkins, Jr of the Wall Street Journal ($) have regarding the recent Google IPO. However, Professor Ribstein beat me to the punch... [Read More]
Tracked on Aug 25, 2004 10:21:27 AM


